Track

Newbury

Race Time

16:20

1

Lavender Hill Mob

OR 96 • 5 9-10
Latest
Jockey
Mason Paetel (5)
Trainer
James Owen
Recent Form
1
0
0
3
8
Last active
20
Class Change
Opening: 17.00
Change: -100.00%
2

Blazeon Five

OR 92 • 8 9-6
Latest
Jockey
Rossa Ryan
Trainer
A King
Recent Form
4
1
1
1
6
Last active
91
Opening: 8.00
Change: -100.00%
3

Pole Star

OR 89 • 4 9-1
Latest
Jockey
W Buick
Trainer
C Johnston
Recent Form
1
1
6
5
0
Last active
188
Class Change
Opening: 4.00
Change: -100.00%
4

Classical Allusion

OR 85 • 4 8-11
Latest
Jockey
Oisin Murphy
Trainer
A M Balding
Recent Form
1
2
Last active
23
5

Maxident

OR 82 • 6 8-10
Latest
Jockey
D Egan
Trainer
K P De Foy
Recent Form
4
/
4
2
1
Last active
220
Improving (3R)Class Change
Opening: 6.00
Change: -100.00%
6

Caprelo

OR 82 • 5 8-10 b
Latest
Jockey
Tom Marquand
Trainer
H Morrison
Recent Form
6
3
1
0
2
Last active
135
Opening: 4.50
Change: -100.00%
7

Call My Bluff

OR 79 • 9 8-7 p
Latest
Jockey
J F Egan
Trainer
D J S Ffrench Davis
Recent Form
3
/
9
4
9
Last active
44
Opening: 51.00
Change: -100.00%
8

Francesco Baracca

OR 77 • 5 8-5
Latest
Jockey
Tyler Heard
Trainer
Eve Johnson Houghton
Recent Form
9
1
1
4
8
Last active
14
Class Change
Opening: 34.00
Change: -100.00%

Form Annotations

  • ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
  • Improving Last 3 Races
  • Improved A lot Last 2 Races
  • Placed Last 3 Races
  • Likely jumped up in class
  • Likely dropped in class
Note: The color-coded notifications highlight noteworthy trends in the horse’s recent form.

Abbreviations

Form: Last 5 runs (most recent on right)
OR: Official Rating
Age & Wgt: Age & Weight to carry (stones-pounds)
Last Active: Number of days since the horse last raced
Odds: Betting odds at time of posting

🏁 Race Overview

A highly competitive Group 1 stakes race over 1 mile 4 furlongs on good going. Six quality runners make this a fascinating contest with no obvious weak link in the field.

Track Suitability: Ascot's wide, galloping track suits horses with pace and stamina. The final furlong is downhill, favoring those with a strong finish.

Going Impact: Good going is neutral, suiting all types of runners. No significant bias noted at this ground.

⭐ Contenders Analysis

Thunder Strike (5/2)

FAVORITE

Top-rated at 95 and justifiably favorite. Excellent recent form with consistent placings. The weight advantage helps too. Main danger will be early pace.

Golden Horizon (3/1)

VALUE

Proven Group 1 winner with excellent finishing kick. Only just beaten last time. Gosden's preparation is sharp and Dettori can put this one in the right place.

Midnight Express (9/2)

IMPROVER

Younger runner showing real progression. Fresh horse with a strong turn of foot. May find this level slightly tough but represents each-way value.

Others

OUTSIDERS

Desert Storm (15/2), Silver Arrow (7/1), and Royal Champion (12/1) complete the field. All have winning chances but face a tough task against the main contenders.

🎯 Pace & Tactics

Expected Pace:

Moderate to strong pace is likely with multiple runners capable of forcing matters. Desert Storm may go forward early, with Golden Horizon comfortable tracking.

Key Tactical Points:

  • Early pace will likely suit the closers
  • Position from stall draw is crucial
  • Strength in the final 2 furlongs wins races here
  • Clear running room needed at crucial moment

🔮 Race Prediction

Most Likely Winner:

Thunder Strike - The class horse with momentum and perfect conditions.

Best Each-Way Bet:

Golden Horizon - Proven at this level with excellent finishing kick.

Surprise Package:

Midnight Express - Improving form and fresh horse could upset the odds.

💡 Betting Tips

  • • Win Bet: Thunder Strike is short odds but the safest bet
  • • Each-Way: Golden Horizon at 3/1 offers value with place odds
  • • Forecast: Thunder Strike-Golden Horizon likely first two
  • • Tricast: Consider including Midnight Express for bigger payout