Catty Justice
Sleepys Tater Todd
Honey's On Fire
Lo Machar
Isha
Selena's Wish
Pernicious
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Sleepys Tater Todd
Best Each-Way Bet: Catty Justice
Surprise Package: Honey's On Fire
The 16:20 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 41.2, with the strongest runner rated 47 and the weakest at 34. The average time since last run across the field is 51.9 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Catty Justice
Form figures of 8663-66 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated on the numbers at 47, holding a useful 4-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
An allocation of 3
8-8 places this runner below the field average by 0.9lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 11 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 47% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 11% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Jose Gutierrez
(5) and trainer Tomas Medina completes the picture for this runner.
Sleepys Tater Todd
Form figures of 77 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-5, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 3.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 51.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 22% below the top-rated and 9.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Amir Mendoza
(5) and trainer Miguel Silva completes the picture for this runner.
Honey's On Fire
Recent form 0458- contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
An OR of 35 places this runner below the field average (41.2) by 6.2 points, giving away 12 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4
8-9 and only 3lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 234 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 22% below the top-rated and 9.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Alex Achard and trainer Bonnie Pittman completes the picture for this runner.
Lo Machar
Recent form 08-24 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 34, this runner is rated 13 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7.2 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 51.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 43% win chance places this runner below the field average (45.7%) by 2.7%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Irving Moncada and trainer Scott Mullins completes the picture for this runner.
Isha
Form figures of 55 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Third on the ratings at 43 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
An allocation of 3
8-8 places this runner below the field average by 0.9lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 51.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 55%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Alexander Crispin and trainer Kelly Fernandez completes the picture for this runner.
Selena's Wish
Form figures of 6 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
An allocation of 3
8-8 places this runner below the field average by 0.9lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 51.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (45.7%) by 0.7%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Joseph Romero
(5) and trainer Israel Garcia completes the picture for this runner.
Pernicious
Form figures of 4/8438-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated on the numbers at 47, holding a useful 4-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12
b1, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 51.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 58% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Hannah Leahey and trainer Jose Cazares completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 16:20 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.