Stormin'unclejack
Mshindi
Logico
Panthera's Fate
Improbable First
Jenny's Beignet
Brewing
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Jenny's Beignet
Best Each-Way Bet: Logico
Surprise Package: Stormin'unclejack
The 18:20 at Thistledown (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 82.6, with the strongest runner rated 89 and the weakest at 78. The average time since last run across the field is 23.9 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
Stormin'unclejack
Recent form figures of 741264 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Top-rated on the numbers at 89, holding a useful 3-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 23.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 64% and only 1% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Angel Diaz and trainer Rodney Faulkner completes the picture for this runner.
Mshindi
Recent Form 554522 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 81 places this runner below the field average (82.6) by 1.6 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 35 days away - 11.1 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The best win chance in the race at 65%, though the field is tightly matched on the data and this is no foregone conclusion.
The partnership of jockey David Haldar and trainer Rodney Faulkner completes the picture for this runner.
Logico
Recent Form 33746-7 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 81 places this runner below the field average (82.6) by 1.6 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 36 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The weakest win chance in the field at 55% - 10% below the top-rated and 5.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Noel Vigil and trainer Richard Genovese completes the picture for this runner.
Panthera's Fate
Recent form figures of 1-24856 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 82 places this runner third on the figures, with the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Above the field average on win chance at 61% and only 4% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Joshua Radosevich
(7) and trainer Johanna Urieta completes the picture for this runner.
Improbable First
Recent Form 664283 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 86, lying just 3 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 19 days, quicker back than the 23.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (60.7%) by 4.7%, giving away 9% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Rivera and trainer Michael Rone completes the picture for this runner.
Jenny's Beignet
Recent form figures of 3-15626 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 78, this runner is rated 11 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 4.6 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 19 days, quicker back than the 23.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The best win chance in the race at 65%, though the field is tightly matched on the data and this is no foregone conclusion.
The partnership of jockey Victor Fernandez and trainer Rey Mendoza completes the picture for this runner.
Brewing
Recent form figures of 916245 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 81 places this runner below the field average (82.6) by 1.6 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The 29-day break is longer than the 23.9-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 59% win chance places this runner below the field average (60.7%) by 1.7%, giving away 6% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Fernando Becerra Salazar and trainer Ivan Calderon completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:20 at Thistledown (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.