Annie Goodbody π
Seekingbythestorm
Early Delivery
Pocket Pair
Game Changer Jolie
Reading Time
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Reading Time
Best Each-Way Bet: Annie Goodbody
Surprise Package: Pocket Pair
The 18:54 at Gulfstream (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 74, with the strongest runner rated 80 and the weakest at 67. The average time since last run across the field is 33.2 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Annie Goodbody
Recent form figures of 7-48163 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 80, enjoying a commanding 6-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 30 days, quicker back than the 33.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (60.3%) by 4.3%, giving away 23% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Samy Camacho and trainer Armando De completes the picture for this runner.
Seekingbythestorm
Form figures of 9-98576 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 70 places this runner below the field average (74) by 4 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 6
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 30 days, quicker back than the 33.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 33% - 46% below the top-rated and 27.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Yolber Torres
(5) and trainer Amparo Lizardi completes the picture for this runner.
Early Delivery
Recent Form 725324 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 73 places this runner below the field average (74) by 1 points, giving away 7 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 30 days, quicker back than the 33.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 65% projection places this runner second on the data, within 14% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Jose Leon and trainer Rachel Lopez completes the picture for this runner.
Pocket Pair
Recent form figures of 2-24321 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 74 places this runner third on the figures, with the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 29 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 79% win probability - a 46% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Miguel Vasquez and trainer Carlos David completes the picture for this runner.
Game Changer Jolie
Recent form figures of 34-1195 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 67, this runner is rated 13 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 30 days, quicker back than the 33.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 65% projection places this runner second on the data, within 14% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Anthony Thomas and trainer Happy Alter completes the picture for this runner.
Reading Time
Recent form figures of 17-6325 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 80, enjoying a commanding 6-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0
b1, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 50 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The 64% projection sits above the field average (60.3%), though the 15% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Diego Herrera and trainer Joseph Orseno completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:54 at Gulfstream (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.