Race Type
Race 4 - Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
Dark Dutchess
Little Crybaby
Keep It Safe
Mabee Luckynwild
Arrivedercci
Bella Prima
Dark Dutchess
Little Crybaby
Keep It Safe
Mabee Luckynwild
Arrivedercci
Bella Prima
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Bella Prima
Best Each-Way Bet: Bella Prima
Surprise Package: Mabee Luckynwild
The 18:56 at Delaware Park (usa) features a field of 12 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 62.8, with the strongest runner rated 76 and the weakest at 49. The average time since last run across the field is 53 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Dark Dutchess
Recent Form 6-48263 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 63 official rating sits above the field average (62.8), though the 13-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 15% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Jorge Ruiz and trainer Robert Werneth completes the picture for this runner.
Little Crybaby
Form figures of 675658- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 76, enjoying a commanding 7-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 12-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 232 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The weakest win chance in the field at 44% - 27% below the top-rated and 10.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Marvin Fernandez
(7) and trainer Nesvil Bailon completes the picture for this runner.
Keep It Safe
Recent form figures of 84518-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 56 places this runner below the field average (62.8) by 6.8 points, giving away 20 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Raul Mena and trainer Jose Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.
Mabee Luckynwild
Recent form figures of 0-61743 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 69 places this runner third on the figures, with the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 8 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emanuel Rosario
(7) and trainer Pedro Nazario completes the picture for this runner.
Arrivedercci
Form figures of 536657 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 49, this runner is rated 27 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 33 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Matilda Burnham and trainer John Volpe completes the picture for this runner.
Bella Prima
Recent form figures of 4-56211 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 64 official rating sits above the field average (62.8), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Paco Lopez and trainer Michael Simone completes the picture for this runner.
Dark Dutchess
Recent Form 6-48263 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 63 official rating sits above the field average (62.8), though the 13-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 15% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Jorge Ruiz and trainer Robert Werneth completes the picture for this runner.
Little Crybaby
Form figures of 675658- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 76, enjoying a commanding 7-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 12-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 232 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The weakest win chance in the field at 44% - 27% below the top-rated and 10.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Marvin Fernandez
(7) and trainer Nesvil Bailon completes the picture for this runner.
Keep It Safe
Recent form figures of 84518-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 56 places this runner below the field average (62.8) by 6.8 points, giving away 20 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Raul Mena and trainer Jose Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.
Mabee Luckynwild
Recent form figures of 0-61743 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 69 places this runner third on the figures, with the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 8 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emanuel Rosario
(7) and trainer Pedro Nazario completes the picture for this runner.
Arrivedercci
Form figures of 536657 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 49, this runner is rated 27 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 33 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Matilda Burnham and trainer John Volpe completes the picture for this runner.
Bella Prima
Recent form figures of 4-56211 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 64 official rating sits above the field average (62.8), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 53-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Paco Lopez and trainer Michael Simone completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:56 at Delaware Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.