Agile Dancer
Fracen Macho
Commander Worsley
Globetrotting
Yorkton's Honour
Rapid Grey
Chambers
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Chambers
Best Each-Way Bet: Yorkton's Honour
Surprise Package: Globetrotting
Multiple runners in this 19:01 at Woodbine (usa) carry strong statistical projections, setting up what could be a compelling duel at the head of the market.
The field averages an official rating of 84.4, with the strongest runner rated 91 and the weakest at 76. The average time since last run across the field is 77.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
Agile Dancer
Recent form figures of 312455- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 86, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 203 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 70% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey David Moran and trainer Steve Attard completes the picture for this runner.
Fracen Macho
Recent form figures of 131/43-4 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 83 places this runner below the field average (84.4) by 1.4 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 77.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 79% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Keveh Nicholls and trainer Richard Hayashi completes the picture for this runner.
Commander Worsley
Recent form figures of 13365-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 85 official rating sits above the field average (84.4), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 77.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Xarel Forde and trainer Nathan Squires completes the picture for this runner.
Globetrotting
Recent form figures of 762-414 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 76, this runner is rated 15 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.4 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-10, enjoying a 1lb advantage over the top weight and 0.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 74 days, quicker back than the 77.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Fraser Aebly and trainer Patrick Dixon completes the picture for this runner.
Yorkton's Honour
Recent form figures of 416381- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 86, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 183-day absence - 105.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.1%) by 2.1%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Pietro Moran and trainer Sid Attard completes the picture for this runner.
Rapid Grey
Recent Form 77423-5 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 91, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 7-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
The weakest win chance in the field at 58% - 21% below the top-rated and 9.1% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Ryan Munger and trainer Danny Yu completes the picture for this runner.
Chambers
Recent form figures of 2113-67 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 84 places this runner below the field average (84.4) by 0.4 points, giving away 7 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 70% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Rafael Hernandez and trainer Harold Ladouceur completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:01 at Woodbine (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.