Isola D'oro π
Shakeitforthebird
Joe G Twentythree
Busy Busy Busy
Mo Mahomie
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Busy Busy Busy
Best Each-Way Bet: Isola D'oro
Surprise Package: Wisecracker
The 19:22 at Finger Lakes (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 59, with the strongest runner rated 73 and the weakest at 52. The average time since last run across the field is 16.5 days, indicating runners are generally race-fit. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Isola D'oro
Recent Form 3-6523 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 73, enjoying a commanding 8-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest break in the field at 23 days, though still within a standard training cycle - likely sufficiently fresh without sacrificing race sharpness.
Second on the win chance ratings at 65%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Reylu Gutierrez and trainer Lisa Lugovich completes the picture for this runner.
Shakeitforthebird
Recent Form 962-443 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 55 places this runner third on the figures, with the 18-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 12 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
The weakest win chance in the field at 58% - 9% below the top-rated and 5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Luis Perez and trainer M Ferraro completes the picture for this runner.
Wisecracker
Recent Form 426-245 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 55 places this runner third on the figures, with the 18-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 12 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Second on the win chance ratings at 65%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Joel Cruz and trainer Lisa Reed completes the picture for this runner.
Joe G Twentythree
Recent Form 5-57262 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 52, this runner is rated 21 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.5lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 12 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 59% win chance places this runner below the field average (63%) by 4%, giving away 8% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jacqueline Davis and trainer Victor Dean completes the picture for this runner.
Busy Busy Busy
Form figures of 542-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 54 places this runner below the field average (59) by 5 points, giving away 19 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.5lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The 20-day break is longer than the 16.5-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
Above the field average on win chance at 64% and only 3% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Kevin Navarro and trainer Jonathan Buckley completes the picture for this runner.
Mo Mahomie
Form figures of 344 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 65, this runner sits second on the figures though the 8-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.5lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The 20-day break is longer than the 16.5-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
The best win chance in the race at 67%, though the field is tightly matched on the data and this is no foregone conclusion.
The partnership of jockey Oscar Gomez and trainer Ronald Breed completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:22 at Finger Lakes (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.