Hey Alexa
Irish B Goode
Zirconia
I'mamaterialgirl
Charcoal Queen
Hylla
Whiskey Brew
Loaf Of Sof
Final Engagement
Feel The Bolt
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Hylla
Best Each-Way Bet: Charcoal Queen
Surprise Package: Hey Alexa
The 19:57 at Laurel Park (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 32lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.
The field averages an official rating of 50.8, with the strongest runner rated 72 and the weakest at 40. The average time since last run across the field is 81.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Hey Alexa
Recent Form 4-34392 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 47 places this runner below the field average (50.8) by 3.8 points, giving away 25 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 62%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jean Briceno and trainer Anthony Aguirre completes the picture for this runner.
Irish B Goode
Form figures of 4427-44 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 55 places this runner third on the figures, with the 17-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A lengthy 85-day absence - 3.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
Second on the win chance ratings at 62%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Taylor Kingsley
(7) and trainer Diana McClure completes the picture for this runner.
Zirconia
Form figures of 88-8 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Rated 57, this runner sits second on the figures though the 15-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 2.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 42 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 27% - 37% below the top-rated and 24.1% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Emanuel Rosario
(7) and trainer Hugh McMahon completes the picture for this runner.
I'mamaterialgirl
Form figures of 62 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 40, this runner is rated 32 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 10.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 2.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 64% win probability - a 37% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Denis Araujo and trainer Jose Corrales completes the picture for this runner.
Charcoal Queen
Form figures of 65- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 44 places this runner below the field average (50.8) by 6.8 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 2.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 305 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (51.1%) by 1.1%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jevian Toledo and trainer Ethan West completes the picture for this runner.
Hylla
Recent Form 63-0572 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 72, enjoying a commanding 15-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 10-runner field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 2.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 48% win chance places this runner below the field average (51.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Yedsit Hazlewood
(5) and trainer Jamie Ness completes the picture for this runner.
Whiskey Brew
Form figures of 46-6675 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The 52 official rating sits above the field average (50.8), though the 20-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4
8-10 and only 4lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 48% win chance places this runner below the field average (51.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jasmine McGuin
(10) and trainer Marco Salazar completes the picture for this runner.
Loaf Of Sof
Form figures of 47 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 44 places this runner below the field average (50.8) by 6.8 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4
8-10 and only 4lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 36 days, quicker back than the 81.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (51.1%) by 1.1%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Matilda Burnham and trainer Brandon McFarlane completes the picture for this runner.
Final Engagement
Form figures of 248- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 53 official rating sits above the field average (50.8), though the 19-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-7, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 2.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 246-day absence - 164.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
Above the field average on win chance at 58% and only 6% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Jose Vargas
(5) and trainer John Robb completes the picture for this runner.
Feel The Bolt
Form figures of 658469 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 44 places this runner below the field average (50.8) by 6.8 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4
8-10
b and only 4lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
A 42% win chance places this runner below the field average (51.1%) by 9.1%, giving away 22% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Tais Lyapustina and trainer David Mohan completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:57 at Laurel Park (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.