Race Type
Race 5 - Maiden Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
Live To Ride
Jimmy The Saint
Cadenced
Sarkis
Ufo
Awegod
Gold Rules
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Cadenced
Best Each-Way Bet: Ufo
Surprise Package: Jimmy The Saint
The 19:58 at Gulfstream (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 64.9, with the strongest runner rated 83 and the weakest at 51. The average time since last run across the field is 35.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Live To Ride
Recent Form 2222D-4 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 83, enjoying a commanding 10-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 7-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 78 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 82% win probability - a 46% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Rafael Dumont
(10) and trainer Jose Castro completes the picture for this runner.
Jimmy The Saint
Form figures of 7 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 68 places this runner third on the figures, with the 15-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 48 days away - 12.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 46% below the top-rated and 22.4% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Leonel Reyes and trainer Chad Stewart completes the picture for this runner.
Cadenced
Form figures of 8547-84 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 61 places this runner below the field average (64.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 22 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 35.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (58.4%) by 13.4%, giving away 37% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Samy Camacho and trainer Mark Casse completes the picture for this runner.
Sarkis
Form figures of 2/46-69 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 57 places this runner below the field average (64.9) by 7.9 points, giving away 26 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 35.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 59% projection sits above the field average (58.4%), though the 23% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey J G Torrealba and trainer Jose D Angelo completes the picture for this runner.
Ufo
Recent Form 334434 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 61 places this runner below the field average (64.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 22 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 35.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 68% projection places this runner second on the data, within 14% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Diego Herrera and trainer Kathleen O'Connell completes the picture for this runner.
Awegod
Form figures of 8-26 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 51, this runner is rated 32 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (58.4%) by 6.4%, giving away 30% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Edwin Gonzalez and trainer Douglas Nunn completes the picture for this runner.
Gold Rules
Recent Form 5-52442 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Rated 73, this runner sits second on the figures though the 10-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 37 days away - 1.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 67% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 15% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Rajiv Maragh and trainer Robert Smith completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:58 at Gulfstream (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.