J J's Ranger
Embrace My Uncle
Final Drama
Magical Ways
Escape Key
Baytown Parfait
El De Larry
Frosty The Giant
King's River
Vance Scholars
Cloud Music
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: El De Larry
Best Each-Way Bet: Baytown Parfait
Surprise Package: Cloud Music
The 20:32 at Delaware Park (usa) features a field of 11 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 89.9, with the strongest runner rated 99 and the weakest at 79. The average time since last run across the field is 34.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 6 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
J J's Ranger
Recent form figures of 113275 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 79, this runner is rated 20 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 10.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
An allocation of 5
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 21 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Above the field average on win chance at 71% and only 8% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Julio Hernandez and trainer Esteban Padilla completes the picture for this runner.
Embrace My Uncle
Recent form figures of 412182 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
The 92 official rating sits above the field average (89.9), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
An allocation of 9
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
At 9 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 21 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Third on the win chance ratings at 73% and only 6% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Gavin Ashton and trainer Christophe Seale completes the picture for this runner.
Final Drama
Recent form figures of 414621 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 85 places this runner below the field average (89.9) by 4.9 points, giving away 14 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 5
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 43 days away - 8.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Third on the win chance ratings at 73% and only 6% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Angel Cruz and trainer Victor Carrasco completes the picture for this runner.
Magical Ways
Recent form figures of 344-031 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 93 places this runner third on the figures, with the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 23 days, quicker back than the 34.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 61% win chance places this runner below the field average (65%) by 4%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Martin Chuan and trainer Jamie Ness completes the picture for this runner.
Escape Key
Recent form figures of 5-90731 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (89.9) by 2.9 points, giving away 12 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 41 days away - 6.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (65%) by 20%, giving away 34% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Cipriano Gil and trainer Ramon Aguayo completes the picture for this runner.
Baytown Parfait
Recent form figures of 432-122 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 99, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 11-runner field.
An allocation of 5
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 69 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 79% win probability - a 35% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Wesley Ho and trainer Jose Gallegos completes the picture for this runner.
El De Larry
Recent form figures of 22835-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 88 places this runner below the field average (89.9) by 1.9 points, giving away 11 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 23 days, quicker back than the 34.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 68% projection sits above the field average (65%), though the 11% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Carol Cedeno and trainer W Bailes completes the picture for this runner.
Frosty The Giant
Recent Form 9-72260 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
The 91 official rating sits above the field average (89.9), though the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
An allocation of 5
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 34.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 44% - 35% below the top-rated and 21% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Paul Luna and trainer Kelly Deiter completes the picture for this runner.
King's River
Recent form figures of 42175-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 92 official rating sits above the field average (89.9), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
An allocation of 5
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 50 days away - 15.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 62% win chance places this runner below the field average (65%) by 3%, giving away 17% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Angel Rodriguez and trainer Jose Magana completes the picture for this runner.
Vance Scholars
Recent Form 2436/6-6 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 89 places this runner below the field average (89.9) by 0.9 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 7
8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 34.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (65%), though the 14% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Julio Hernandez and trainer Phillip Capuano completes the picture for this runner.
Cloud Music
Recent form figures of 12113-9 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 94, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
An allocation of 6
8-9 places this runner below the field average by 0.6lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 48 days away - 13.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Second on the win chance ratings at 74%, lying just 5% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Madeline Rowland and trainer Michael Gorham completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 20:32 at Delaware Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.