Goodies
I'll Be Your Baby
Natural Diamond
Tiz Alluring
Somerset West
Velvet Reign
Decisive Deception
Kinzlee'scharisma
Seeking Attention
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Goodies
Best Each-Way Bet: I'll Be Your Baby
Surprise Package: Somerset West
Multiple runners in this 21:00 at Santa Anita (usa) carry strong statistical projections, setting up what could be a compelling duel at the head of the market.
The field averages an official rating of 91.3, with the strongest runner rated 100 and the weakest at 84. The average time since last run across the field is 43.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 3 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Goodies
Form figures of 3 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Top-rated horse at 100, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.9%) by 0.9%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Hector Berrios and trainer Philip D Amato completes the picture for this runner.
I'll Be Your Baby
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 67% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Gonzalez and trainer P Gallagher completes the picture for this runner.
Natural Diamond
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 67% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Welfin Orantes and trainer P Gallagher completes the picture for this runner.
Tiz Alluring
Form figures of 3 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (91.3) by 4.3 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 43 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.9%) by 0.9%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emisael Jaramillo and trainer Richard Baltas completes the picture for this runner.
Somerset West
Recent Form 422 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 98, lying just 2 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 43 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 76% projection sits above the field average (73.9%), though the 24% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Joel Rosario and trainer John Sadler completes the picture for this runner.
Velvet Reign
Recent Form 32- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 190 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 77% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 23% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Juan Hernandez and trainer S Callaghan completes the picture for this runner.
Decisive Deception
Form figures of 778 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 86 places this runner below the field average (91.3) by 5.3 points, giving away 14 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 33% - 67% below the top-rated and 40.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Abel Lezcano and trainer Neil Drysdale completes the picture for this runner.
Kinzlee'scharisma
Recent Form 2-3445 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 84, this runner is rated 16 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 67% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.9%) by 6.9%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Baze and trainer Daniel Jensen completes the picture for this runner.
Seeking Attention
Recent Form 8232 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 93 places this runner third on the figures, with the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 43.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 66% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.9%) by 7.9%, giving away 34% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Armando Ayuso and trainer P Eurton completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:00 at Santa Anita (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.