The 21:23 at Lone Star (usa) features a field of 7 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 57.9, with the strongest runner rated 73 and the weakest at 40. The average time since last run across the field is 46.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.



Captain Blood
Recent Form 35-322 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 73, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
An allocation of 3 8-6 places this runner third on the weights, with the 6lb gap to the top weight suggesting solid claims from a burden standpoint.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 114 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 73% win probability - a 40% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey David Cabrera and trainer Justin Evans completes the picture for this runner.


Rip Cord
Form figures of 9-67 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 40, this runner is rated 33 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 17.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
An allocation of 3 8-6 places this runner third on the weights, with the 6lb gap to the top weight suggesting solid claims from a burden standpoint.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 8 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
The weakest win chance in the field at 33% - 40% below the top-rated and 24% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Stewart Elliott and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.


The Birdman
Recent Form 24-3348 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 52 places this runner below the field average (57.9) by 5.9 points, giving away 21 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 3 8-6 places this runner third on the weights, with the 6lb gap to the top weight suggesting solid claims from a burden standpoint.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 46.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 64% and only 9% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Lane Luzzi and trainer Jaime Castellanos completes the picture for this runner.


Spooky Action
Form figures of 55-47 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The 60 official rating sits above the field average (57.9), though the 13-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
An allocation of 3 8-6 places this runner third on the weights, with the 6lb gap to the top weight suggesting solid claims from a burden standpoint.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 87-day absence - 40.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (57%) by 5%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jose Alvarez and trainer Eduardo Cruz completes the picture for this runner.


Raaq Tansani
Recent form 0-455 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Second-best on the numbers at 71, lying just 2 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
An allocation of 3 8-6 places this runner third on the weights, with the 6lb gap to the top weight suggesting solid claims from a burden standpoint.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 46.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 43% win chance places this runner below the field average (57%) by 14%, giving away 30% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Erik Asmussen and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.


Gypsy J T
Form figures of 4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 47 places this runner below the field average (57.9) by 10.9 points, giving away 26 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A recent outing 9 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 46.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
Third on the win chance ratings at 64% and only 9% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Floyd Jr Wethey and trainer Justin Evans completes the picture for this runner.


Kochan
Recent Form 333-425 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 62 places this runner third on the figures, with the 11-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 44 days, quicker back than the 46.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 70%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Weston Hamilton and trainer Terry Eoff completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 21:23 at Lone Star (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.