First Hathor
Radar Loop
El Ma'any
More Vino Rosa
Spanish Girl
Sexpectations
Woodruff π
Richie's Valentine
Backseat Romance
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Woodruffπ Winner
Best Each-Way Bet: Backseat Romance
Surprise Package: Spanish Girl
The 21:46 at Monmouth Park (usa) features a field of 9 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 66.1, with the strongest runner rated 77 and the weakest at 43. The average time since last run across the field is 25.1 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
First Hathor
Recent form figures of 544941 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 63 places this runner below the field average (66.1) by 3.1 points, giving away 14 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 3
8-5 places this runner below the field average by 1lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 42 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
Third on the win chance ratings at 59% and only 8% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Pedro Jr Cotto and trainer Kathleen O'Connell completes the picture for this runner.
Radar Loop
Form figures of 5-86477 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Second-best on the numbers at 76, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
An allocation of 3
8-5 places this runner below the field average by 1lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 25.1 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
The weakest win chance in the field at 44% - 23% below the top-rated and 12.1% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Sonny Leon and trainer Michael Dini completes the picture for this runner.
El Ma'any
Recent form figures of 9-15863 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (66.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 12 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 3
8-5 places this runner below the field average by 1lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 25.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.1%) by 4.1%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Francisco Martinez and trainer Michael Dini completes the picture for this runner.
More Vino Rosa
Recent form figures of 662512 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 74 and only 3 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
An allocation of 3
8-5 places this runner below the field average by 1lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 25.1 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
Top of the tree on win chance at 67% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Chantal Sutherland and trainer Kathleen O'Connell completes the picture for this runner.
Spanish Girl
Recent Form 543236 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 43, this runner is rated 34 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 23.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-9, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 40 days away - 14.9 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Second on the win chance ratings at 65%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jomar Torres and trainer Joann Bertone completes the picture for this runner.
Sexpectations
Recent form figures of 792135 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 60 places this runner below the field average (66.1) by 6.1 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-4, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 25.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 59% and only 8% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jorge Gonzalez and trainer Riquelvis Grullon completes the picture for this runner.
Woodruff
Recent form figures of 16-3746 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 73 and only 4 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
An allocation of 3
8-5 places this runner below the field average by 1lb, giving away 4lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 17 days, quicker back than the 25.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 59% and only 8% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Paco Lopez and trainer Lindsay Schultz completes the picture for this runner.
Richie's Valentine
Form figures of 5478-44 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 64 places this runner below the field average (66.1) by 2.1 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 5
8-7 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.1%) by 4.1%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Charlie Marquez and trainer Sergio Rabadan completes the picture for this runner.
Backseat Romance
Recent form figures of 21-9886 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Top-rated horse at 77, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-9, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 42 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 48% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.1%) by 8.1%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jose Gomez and trainer Patrick McBurney completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:46 at Monmouth Park (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.