The 23:12 at Hawthorne (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 23lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.

The field averages an official rating of 71.7, with the strongest runner rated 81 and the weakest at 58. The average time since last run across the field is 69.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.



Canyon Shadows
Form figures of 57474-4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (71.7) by 6.7 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 17 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The weakest win chance in the field at 53% - 15% below the top-rated and 6% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Olaf Hernandez and trainer Frank Kirby completes the picture for this runner.


Highly Perfect
Form figures of 7734-44 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (71.7) by 6.7 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 6 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (59%) by 3%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Alexander Bendezu and trainer Maximino Quinonez completes the picture for this runner.


Ancient Man
Recent Form 372638- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 58, this runner is rated 23 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.7 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 7 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
A lengthy 217-day absence - 147.2 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (59%) by 3%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey E Baird and trainer Rigo Rosas completes the picture for this runner.


Breaking News
Form figures of 75526-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (71.7) by 6.7 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 10 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 10 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (59%) by 4%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ademar Santos and trainer Hugo Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.


Devils Red
Recent Form 3746-23 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 80, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 6 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 62% and only 6% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Luis Colon and trainer David Reid completes the picture for this runner.


Mon Ami Fuzzie
Recent form figures of 515451- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Second-best on the numbers at 80, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 8 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 8-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 227 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 68% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Emmanuel Giles and trainer Jose Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.


All About Tonite
Recent form figures of 7541-56 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 81, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 31 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (59%) by 1%, giving away 10% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Johanis Aranguren (7) and trainer Eduardo Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.


Off To The Races
Form figures of 5-46535 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 76 and only 5 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 7 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 31 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (59%) by 1%, giving away 10% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer Joel Campbell completes the picture for this runner.


Lavender Earl
Recent Form 77D3-42 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 75 official rating sits above the field average (71.7), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 8 8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 8-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 69.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 65%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Carlos Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 23:12 at Hawthorne (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.