Race Type
Race 2 - Allowance Optional Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Rebel Gal
Dontmesswithtess
Low Key
Chamaville
Dutton Street Girl
Rebel Gal
Dontmesswithtess
Low Key
Chamaville
Dutton Street Girl
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Dutton Street Girl
Best Each-Way Bet: Dutton Street Girl
Surprise Package: Chamaville
A tightly knit field lines up for the 23:40 at Canterbury Park (usa), with only 6lb separating the highest and lowest rated runners - expect a competitive, tactical affair.
The field averages an official rating of 89.8, with the strongest runner rated 92 and the weakest at 86. The average time since last run across the field is 29.2 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 6 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Rebel Gal
Recent Form 4-83634 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated horse at 92, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 44 days away - 14.8 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (64%) by 6%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Alonso Quinonez and trainer Bennie Woolley Jr completes the picture for this runner.
Dontmesswithtess
Form figures of 524544 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 90 and only 2 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 8
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 33 days away - 3.8 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Above the field average on win chance at 64% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Fausto Silva Da and trainer Manuel Ortiz completes the picture for this runner.
Low Key
Form figures of 246-449 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 86, this runner is rated 6 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 3.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 47 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The weakest win chance in the field at 56% - 15% below the top-rated and 8% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jose Riquelme and trainer McLean Robertson completes the picture for this runner.
Chamaville
Recent form figures of 592111 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 92, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 10 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Eduardo Gallardo and trainer Martin Escobar completes the picture for this runner.
Dutton Street Girl
Recent form figures of 366211 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 89 places this runner below the field average (89.8) by 0.8 points, giving away 3 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 12 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 29.2 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Americano and trainer Jose Silva completes the picture for this runner.
Rebel Gal
Recent Form 4-83634 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated horse at 92, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 44 days away - 14.8 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (64%) by 6%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Alonso Quinonez and trainer Bennie Woolley Jr completes the picture for this runner.
Dontmesswithtess
Form figures of 524544 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 90 and only 2 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 8
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 33 days away - 3.8 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Above the field average on win chance at 64% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Fausto Silva Da and trainer Manuel Ortiz completes the picture for this runner.
Low Key
Form figures of 246-449 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 86, this runner is rated 6 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 3.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 47 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The weakest win chance in the field at 56% - 15% below the top-rated and 8% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jose Riquelme and trainer McLean Robertson completes the picture for this runner.
Chamaville
Recent form figures of 592111 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 92, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 10 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Eduardo Gallardo and trainer Martin Escobar completes the picture for this runner.
Dutton Street Girl
Recent form figures of 366211 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 89 places this runner below the field average (89.8) by 0.8 points, giving away 3 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 12 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 29.2 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Americano and trainer Jose Silva completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 23:40 at Canterbury Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.