Race Type
Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight
Race Class
2YO only
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
How's Al Today
Super Saiyajin
Mr Gerson
Bardstown Road
Decimation
Long Range Walt
Take Charge Beach
Rock Havoc
Sky Warrior
Quick Silla
Bet On Silver
How's Al Today
Super Saiyajin
Mr Gerson
Bardstown Road
Decimation
Long Range Walt
Take Charge Beach
Rock Havoc
Sky Warrior
Quick Silla
Bet On Silver
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Quick Silla
Best Each-Way Bet: Quick Silla
Surprise Package: Sky Warrior
The 23:56 at Churchill Downs (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 36lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.
The field averages an official rating of 77.6, with the strongest runner rated 96 and the weakest at 60. The average time since last run across the field is 10.3 days, indicating runners are generally race-fit. A notable majority of the field arrives off recent runs, suggesting most runners should be at peak fitness for this contest.
How's Al Today
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luis Saez and trainer Riley Mott completes the picture for this runner.
Super Saiyajin
Recent Form 422 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 96, enjoying a commanding 10-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 10-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 36 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 76% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 2%, giving away 24% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Gerardo Corrales and trainer Sergio Donjuan completes the picture for this runner.
Mr Gerson
Recent form 30 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 64 places this runner below the field average (77.6) by 13.6 points, giving away 32 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 14-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 36% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 42%, giving away 64% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Andres Calleja and trainer Israel Acevedo completes the picture for this runner.
Bardstown Road
Form figures of 5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The 82 official rating sits above the field average (77.6), though the 14-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 23%, giving away 45% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Florent Geroux and trainer Kenneth McPeek completes the picture for this runner.
Decimation
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Keith Asmussen and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
Long Range Walt
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Brian Jr Hernandez and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
Take Charge Beach
Form figures of 8 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 60, this runner is rated 36 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 17.6 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7
b1, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
The weakest win chance in the field at 27% - 73% below the top-rated and 51% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Edgar Morales and trainer Genaro Garcia completes the picture for this runner.
Rock Havoc
Form figures of 4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 86 places this runner third on the figures, with the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 14%, giving away 36% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emmanuel Esquivel and trainer Kenneth McPeek completes the picture for this runner.
Sky Warrior
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Axel Concepcion and trainer Mark Casse completes the picture for this runner.
Quick Silla
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luan Machado and trainer B Cox completes the picture for this runner.
Bet On Silver
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Ben Curtis and trainer Brendan Walsh completes the picture for this runner.
How's Al Today
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luis Saez and trainer Riley Mott completes the picture for this runner.
Super Saiyajin
Recent Form 422 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 96, enjoying a commanding 10-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 10-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 36 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 76% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 2%, giving away 24% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Gerardo Corrales and trainer Sergio Donjuan completes the picture for this runner.
Mr Gerson
Recent form 30 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 64 places this runner below the field average (77.6) by 13.6 points, giving away 32 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 14-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 36% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 42%, giving away 64% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Andres Calleja and trainer Israel Acevedo completes the picture for this runner.
Bardstown Road
Form figures of 5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The 82 official rating sits above the field average (77.6), though the 14-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 23%, giving away 45% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Florent Geroux and trainer Kenneth McPeek completes the picture for this runner.
Decimation
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Keith Asmussen and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
Long Range Walt
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Brian Jr Hernandez and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
Take Charge Beach
Form figures of 8 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 60, this runner is rated 36 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 17.6 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7
b1, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
The weakest win chance in the field at 27% - 73% below the top-rated and 51% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Edgar Morales and trainer Genaro Garcia completes the picture for this runner.
Rock Havoc
Form figures of 4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 86 places this runner third on the figures, with the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 10.3-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (78%) by 14%, giving away 36% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emmanuel Esquivel and trainer Kenneth McPeek completes the picture for this runner.
Sky Warrior
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Axel Concepcion and trainer Mark Casse completes the picture for this runner.
Quick Silla
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luan Machado and trainer B Cox completes the picture for this runner.
Bet On Silver
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Top weight in the race at 2
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 2 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Ben Curtis and trainer Brendan Walsh completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 23:56 at Churchill Downs (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.