The 18:28 at Woodbine (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 24lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.

The field averages an official rating of 54.3, with the strongest runner rated 63 and the weakest at 39. The average time since last run across the field is 67.1 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.



Almasty's Lust
Form figures of 887865- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The 57 official rating sits above the field average (54.3), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A lengthy 176-day absence - 108.9 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 19% below the top-rated and 8.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jason Hoyte and trainer Ronald Sadler completes the picture for this runner.


Ryo Amazing
Form figures of 47548-6 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Rated 58, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Above the field average on weights at 5 8-11 and only 1lb below the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 67.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 48% and only 7% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Leo Salles and trainer Pat Parente completes the picture for this runner.


Miss Candy Girl
Recent form 7-550 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
The 56 official rating sits above the field average (54.3), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 83-day absence - 15.9 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 19% below the top-rated and 8.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jeffrey Alderson and trainer David Borsk completes the picture for this runner.


Daring Dame
Form figures of 95-7 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 63, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 8-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 67.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 36% - 19% below the top-rated and 8.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Christoff Douglas (10) and trainer Nicholas Nosowenko completes the picture for this runner.


Sacred Prayer
Form figures of 88-4747 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 39, this runner is rated 24 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 15.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
A 42% win chance places this runner below the field average (44.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Kemarie Blackett (5) and trainer Richard Morden completes the picture for this runner.


Girl's Nite Out
Form figures of 55-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 53 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 1.3 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 67.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 55% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Eswan Flores and trainer Nicholas Nosowenko completes the picture for this runner.


Reload Baba
Form figures of 677-473 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 58, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Above the field average on weights at 4 8-11 and only 1lb below the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 67.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 48% and only 7% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Kirk Johnson and trainer Sylvester Ollivierre completes the picture for this runner.


Baytown Glinda
Form figures of 46- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 50 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 4.3 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-7, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 2.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 180 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 55% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Xarel Forde and trainer Darwin Banach completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 18:28 at Woodbine (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.