Race Type
Race 3 - Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
That Girl Artemus
Magic Modie
My Cash Factor
Mardene
Lemoncella Spritz
Bravo Kate
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Bravo Kate
Best Each-Way Bet: Magic Modie
Surprise Package: That Girl Artemus
The 18:58 at Woodbine (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 70.7, with the strongest runner rated 78 and the weakest at 64. The average time since last run across the field is 110.5 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
That Girl Artemus
Recent form figures of 817937- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (70.7) by 3.7 points, giving away 11 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 5
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
A lengthy 188-day absence - 77.5 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The weakest win chance in the field at 47% - 23% below the top-rated and 10.8% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Romero Maragh and trainer Kerron Palmer completes the picture for this runner.
Magic Modie
Recent form figures of 539186- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 78, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Third highest in the weights at 6
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 204 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (57.8%) by 5.8%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey David Moran and trainer Mike Dunslow completes the picture for this runner.
My Cash Factor
Recent form figures of 24103-5 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 64, this runner is rated 14 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 6.7 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 61% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Prayven Badrie and trainer Michael Glazier completes the picture for this runner.
Mardene
Recent form figures of 52-9271 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 68 places this runner below the field average (70.7) by 2.7 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 7
8-12, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 41 days, quicker back than the 110.5-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 61% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Juan Crawford and trainer Sylvain Pion completes the picture for this runner.
Lemoncella Spritz
Recent form figures of 15-4721 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 70 places this runner third on the figures, with the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 110.5-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 70% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Emma Jayne Wilson and trainer Steven Chircop completes the picture for this runner.
Bravo Kate
Recent form figures of 493101- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 77, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Third highest in the weights at 5
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
A lengthy 188-day absence - 77.5 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (57.8%) by 1.8%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Daisuke Fukumoto and trainer Sid Attard completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:58 at Woodbine (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.