Race Type
Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
Bernieandtherose
Pure Joy
U Lite Up My Life
Chit Chat
Measure
Directive
Metfardeh
Reality Star
Bernieandtherose
Pure Joy
U Lite Up My Life
Chit Chat
Measure
Directive
Metfardeh
Reality Star
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Reality Star
Best Each-Way Bet: Reality Star
Surprise Package: Measure
The 19:13 at Saratoga (usa) features a field of 16 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 88.1, with the strongest runner rated 91 and the weakest at 83. The average time since last run across the field is 48 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 8 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Bernieandtherose
Recent form figures of 11/113-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 85 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 3.1 points, giving away 6 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 47 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 83% and only 3% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Katie Davis and trainer Domenick Schettino completes the picture for this runner.
Pure Joy
Recent form figures of 3321 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 40 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 80% and only 6% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Gaffalione and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
U Lite Up My Life
Recent form figures of 54222-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 77 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 10% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Dylan Davis and trainer S Joseph Jr completes the picture for this runner.
Chit Chat
Recent form figures of 351 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 83, this runner is rated 8 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 5.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 55 days away - 7 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 2.9%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Junior Alvarado and trainer William Mott completes the picture for this runner.
Measure
Recent form figures of 521-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 90 and only 1 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 34 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 68% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 7.9%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jose Ortiz and trainer Mark Casse completes the picture for this runner.
Directive
Recent form figures of 21 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 86% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Chad Brown completes the picture for this runner.
Metfardeh
Recent form figures of 251-333 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 4 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 49 days away - 1 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 74% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 1.9%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey John Velazquez and trainer Todd Pletcher completes the picture for this runner.
Reality Star
Recent form figures of 336-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 4 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 47 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 67% - 19% below the top-rated and 8.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer III Claude McGaughey completes the picture for this runner.
Bernieandtherose
Recent form figures of 11/113-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 85 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 3.1 points, giving away 6 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 47 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 83% and only 3% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Katie Davis and trainer Domenick Schettino completes the picture for this runner.
Pure Joy
Recent form figures of 3321 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 40 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 80% and only 6% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Gaffalione and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.
U Lite Up My Life
Recent form figures of 54222-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 77 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 10% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Dylan Davis and trainer S Joseph Jr completes the picture for this runner.
Chit Chat
Recent form figures of 351 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 83, this runner is rated 8 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 5.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 55 days away - 7 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 2.9%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Junior Alvarado and trainer William Mott completes the picture for this runner.
Measure
Recent form figures of 521-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 90 and only 1 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 34 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 68% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 7.9%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jose Ortiz and trainer Mark Casse completes the picture for this runner.
Directive
Recent form figures of 21 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 91, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 86% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Chad Brown completes the picture for this runner.
Metfardeh
Recent form figures of 251-333 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 4 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 49 days away - 1 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 74% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.9%) by 1.9%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey John Velazquez and trainer Todd Pletcher completes the picture for this runner.
Reality Star
Recent form figures of 336-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (88.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 4 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 47 days, quicker back than the 48-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 67% - 19% below the top-rated and 8.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer III Claude McGaughey completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:13 at Saratoga (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.