The 23:16 at Saratoga (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 26lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.

The field averages an official rating of 80.9, with the strongest runner rated 93 and the weakest at 67. The average time since last run across the field is 34.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 4 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.



Pretty Lavish
Recent Form 7-33767 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Third on the ratings at 91 and only 2 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 14.8%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer Rob Atras completes the picture for this runner.


River Tay
Recent form figures of 66111-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 6 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Katie Davis and trainer Bruce Brown completes the picture for this runner.


Heavenly Light
Recent form figures of 22-5113 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Third on the win chance ratings at 79% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jaime Rodriguez and trainer Horacio De completes the picture for this runner.


Mo Complex
Recent form figures of 50-5251 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 8.8%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Gaffalione and trainer Lindsay Schultz completes the picture for this runner.


Hauntress
Form figures of 44-6882 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 67, this runner is rated 26 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 12.8%, giving away 31% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ruben Silvera and trainer Antonio Arriaga completes the picture for this runner.


Dividend Recap
Recent form figures of 25/12-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 83 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 83% win probability - a 35% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Miguel Clement completes the picture for this runner.


Bobby Jean
Form figures of 5744-76 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 105 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 14.8%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Kendrick Carmouche and trainer Mark Hennig completes the picture for this runner.


Racing Colors
Recent Form 5-25335 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated horse at 93, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 7 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Dalila Rivera (7) and trainer Norman Follett completes the picture for this runner.


Princess Summer
Recent form figures of 2341-64 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 48 days away - 13.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The 70% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 13% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Jr Santana and trainer Michael Maker completes the picture for this runner.


Lady River Lily
Recent form figures of 56-1326 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Sahin Civaci and trainer Douglas Seyler completes the picture for this runner.


Lotus Petal
Recent form figures of 7228-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 62% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 2.8%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Edgard Zayas and trainer Jena Antonucci completes the picture for this runner.


Autonome
Recent form figures of 3215-2 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 85 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 5.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Gavin Lerena and trainer H Motion completes the picture for this runner.


Planet Clare
Recent form figures of 86658-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 76 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 4.9 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 46 days away - 11.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 35% below the top-rated and 16.8% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Martin Chuan and trainer Keri Brion completes the picture for this runner.


Big Air
Recent form figures of 3342-61 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 83 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 39 days away - 4.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The 71% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 12% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.


That's Funny
Recent form figures of 5-13174 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 78 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 2.9 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 68% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 15% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Silvestre Gonzalez and trainer Ilkay Kantarmaci completes the picture for this runner.


Adrian
Recent Form 57224-3 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 84 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.


Pretty Lavish
Recent Form 7-33767 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Third on the ratings at 91 and only 2 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 14.8%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer Rob Atras completes the picture for this runner.


River Tay
Recent form figures of 66111-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 6 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Katie Davis and trainer Bruce Brown completes the picture for this runner.


Heavenly Light
Recent form figures of 22-5113 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Third on the win chance ratings at 79% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jaime Rodriguez and trainer Horacio De completes the picture for this runner.


Mo Complex
Recent form figures of 50-5251 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 8.8%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Gaffalione and trainer Lindsay Schultz completes the picture for this runner.


Hauntress
Form figures of 44-6882 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 67, this runner is rated 26 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 52% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 12.8%, giving away 31% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ruben Silvera and trainer Antonio Arriaga completes the picture for this runner.


Dividend Recap
Recent form figures of 25/12-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 83 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 83% win probability - a 35% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Miguel Clement completes the picture for this runner.


Bobby Jean
Form figures of 5744-76 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 105 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 14.8%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Kendrick Carmouche and trainer Mark Hennig completes the picture for this runner.


Racing Colors
Recent Form 5-25335 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated horse at 93, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 7 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Dalila Rivera (7) and trainer Norman Follett completes the picture for this runner.


Princess Summer
Recent form figures of 2341-64 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 48 days away - 13.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The 70% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 13% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Jr Santana and trainer Michael Maker completes the picture for this runner.


Lady River Lily
Recent form figures of 56-1326 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The shortest absence in the race at 20 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Sahin Civaci and trainer Douglas Seyler completes the picture for this runner.


Lotus Petal
Recent form figures of 7228-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 62% win chance places this runner below the field average (64.8%) by 2.8%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Edgard Zayas and trainer Jena Antonucci completes the picture for this runner.


Autonome
Recent form figures of 3215-2 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 85 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 5.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 32 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 76% and only 7% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Gavin Lerena and trainer H Motion completes the picture for this runner.


Planet Clare
Recent form figures of 86658-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 76 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 4.9 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 46 days away - 11.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 35% below the top-rated and 16.8% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Martin Chuan and trainer Keri Brion completes the picture for this runner.


Big Air
Recent form figures of 3342-61 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 83 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 39 days away - 4.3 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The 71% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 12% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.


That's Funny
Recent form figures of 5-13174 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 78 places this runner below the field average (80.9) by 2.9 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 68% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 15% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Silvestre Gonzalez and trainer Ilkay Kantarmaci completes the picture for this runner.


Adrian
Recent Form 57224-3 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 84 official rating sits above the field average (80.9), though the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 34.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (64.8%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 23:16 at Saratoga (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.