The 19:30 at Fairmount Park (usa) features a field of 7 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 49.3, with the strongest runner rated 75 and the weakest at 20. The average time since last run across the field is 28.1 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.



Army Medic
Recent Form 20-833 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 55 places this runner third on the figures, with the 20-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 40 days away - 11.9 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 51% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 10.9%, giving away 49% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ademar Santos and trainer Heather Irion completes the picture for this runner.


Sweet Skylar
Form figures of 2 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 75, enjoying a commanding 15-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 28.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Rated 82% on the win chance scale - second in the field but the 18% gap to the top pick suggests it will need to find extra to turn the tables.
The partnership of jockey Victor Santiago and trainer Scott Becker completes the picture for this runner.


Carolines Hart
Recent form 900 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 20, this runner is rated 55 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 29.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 40 days away - 11.9 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
The weakest win chance in the field at 6% - 94% below the top-rated and 55.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Fernando Bahena completes the picture for this runner.


Dancewithmefiona
Recent Form 52938-4 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 60, this runner sits second on the figures though the 15-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 45 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 53% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 8.9%, giving away 47% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Johanis Aranguren (7) and trainer Steve Fridley completes the picture for this runner.


Our Juju
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-8, enjoying a 6lb advantage over the top weight and 2.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 94% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Cory Orm and trainer Tammy Hornsby completes the picture for this runner.


Dominant Caitlin
Recent Form 43/3 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 39 places this runner below the field average (49.3) by 10.3 points, giving away 36 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 28.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 77% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 23% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Alexander Bendezu and trainer Scott Becker completes the picture for this runner.


Tiny Tot Queen
Form figures of 4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 47 places this runner below the field average (49.3) by 2.3 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 28.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 64% projection sits above the field average (61.9%), though the 36% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Travis Wales and trainer Steve Manley completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 19:30 at Fairmount Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.