Mr. Chivas
Sonnyisnotsofunny
Good Scout
Orbital Starr
Scotch No Rocks
Verrazano First
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Sonnyisnotsofunny
Best Each-Way Bet: Verrazano First
Surprise Package: Good Scout
The 19:55 at Fairmount Park (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 71, with the strongest runner rated 85 and the weakest at 59. The average time since last run across the field is 72.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Mr. Chivas
Recent form figures of 5532-14 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 77, this runner sits second on the figures though the 8-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 9 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Third on the win chance ratings at 70% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Travis Wales and trainer Steve Manley completes the picture for this runner.
Sonnyisnotsofunny
Recent form figures of 315-150 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 69 places this runner third on the figures, with the 16-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
A recent outing 10 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 72.8 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 61% win chance places this runner below the field average (65.5%) by 4.5%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Angel Stanley and trainer Charles Davis completes the picture for this runner.
Good Scout
Recent form figures of 953061 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 68 places this runner below the field average (71) by 3 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 9
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 9 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 72.8 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
The weakest win chance in the field at 47% - 27% below the top-rated and 18.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Fernando Bahena completes the picture for this runner.
Orbital Starr
Recent Form 24348/2- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 68 places this runner below the field average (71) by 3 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 7
8-12, enjoying a 2lb advantage over the top weight and 1.7lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 364 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Third on the win chance ratings at 70% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Victor Lara
(7) and trainer John Wiese completes the picture for this runner.
Scotch No Rocks
Recent form figures of 3431-17 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 59, this runner is rated 26 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 12 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 7
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 72.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 71%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Javier Diego and trainer Ben Delong completes the picture for this runner.
Verrazano First
Recent form figures of 7123-13 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 85, enjoying a commanding 8-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 9
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 9 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 72.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 74% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Johanis Aranguren
(7) and trainer Pat Clay completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:55 at Fairmount Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.