No Denying
Bella Bello Banker
Doppio Espresso
Ruby Ruby
Here'syourtrouble
Bossy Dish
Woodruff
Dakota Cam
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Dakota Cam
Best Each-Way Bet: Bossy Dish
Surprise Package: Here'syourtrouble
The 20:32 at Monmouth Park (usa) features a field of 8 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 71.9, with the strongest runner rated 80 and the weakest at 65. The average time since last run across the field is 43.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
No Denying
Recent form figures of 13 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Third on the ratings at 76 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 6 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 82% win probability - a 35% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Angel Morales and trainer Juan Avila completes the picture for this runner.
Bella Bello Banker
Recent form figures of 34-5661 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 65, this runner is rated 15 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 6.9 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 43.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 62% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 20% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Sonny Leon and trainer Juan Avila completes the picture for this runner.
Doppio Espresso
Recent form figures of 72-5178 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 77, lying just 3 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 43.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 6.9%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Rivera Jr and trainer Raymond Handal completes the picture for this runner.
Ruby Ruby
Recent form figures of 426321 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (71.9) by 4.9 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 15 days, quicker back than the 43.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Daniel Centeno and trainer John Kirby completes the picture for this runner.
Here'syourtrouble
Recent form figures of 827471- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 68 places this runner below the field average (71.9) by 3.9 points, giving away 12 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 209 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 5.9%, giving away 26% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Francisco Martinez and trainer R Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.
Bossy Dish
Recent form figures of 5381-54 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated on the numbers at 80, holding a useful 3-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-7, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 34 days, quicker back than the 43.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 61% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 0.9%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Reylu Gutierrez and trainer R Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.
Woodruff
Recent form figures of 16-3746 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 73 official rating sits above the field average (71.9), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 43.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 59% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.9%) by 2.9%, giving away 23% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jorge Vargas Jr and trainer Lindsay Schultz completes the picture for this runner.
Dakota Cam
Form figures of 497-483 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 69 places this runner below the field average (71.9) by 2.9 points, giving away 11 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-5 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 13 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 43.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
The weakest win chance in the field at 47% - 35% below the top-rated and 14.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jose Gomez and trainer Lindsay Schultz completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 20:32 at Monmouth Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.