Guapo Again
Splitting Stones
Grouch
Cold Feet
Charlie Mac Mac
La Frost
Three Zero
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Charlie Mac Mac
Best Each-Way Bet: Three Zero
Surprise Package: Cold Feet
The 21:32 at Monmouth Park (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 88, with the strongest runner rated 104 and the weakest at 68. The average time since last run across the field is 62.1 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
Guapo Again
Recent form figures of 713131 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 96, this runner sits second on the figures though the 8-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 62.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 76% and only 1% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Luis Rivera Jr and trainer Michael Simone completes the picture for this runner.
Splitting Stones
Form figures of 446757 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 68, this runner is rated 36 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 20 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Second highest in the weights at 5
8-9, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 62.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 50% - 27% below the top-rated and 17.4% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Chantal Sutherland and trainer Joann Bertone completes the picture for this runner.
Grouch
Recent Form 396423- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 89 places this runner third on the figures, with the 15-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 6
8-9, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
A lengthy 175-day absence - 112.9 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 59% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.4%) by 8.4%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Charlie Marquez and trainer Timothy Hills completes the picture for this runner.
Cold Feet
Recent form figures of 136535 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (88) by 1 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 6
8-9, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 6 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.4%) by 2.4%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jorge Gonzalez and trainer Silvino Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.
Charlie Mac Mac
Recent form figures of 7-14414 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 84 places this runner below the field average (88) by 4 points, giving away 20 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-5, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 3.6lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 62.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 68% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Jomar Torres and trainer Tony Wilson completes the picture for this runner.
La Frost
Recent form figures of 14- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 88 official rating sits above the field average (88), though the 16-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 4
8-9
b1, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 178 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 77% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Sonny Leon and trainer Teresa Pompay completes the picture for this runner.
Three Zero
Recent form figures of 21-4224 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 104, enjoying a commanding 8-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 7-runner field.
Second highest in the weights at 6
8-9, lying just 1lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Raced just 7 days ago - quicker back than the field average (62.1 days) and at peak fitness, though the turnaround is sharper than most.
Top of the tree on win chance at 77% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Reylu Gutierrez and trainer Carlos David completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:32 at Monmouth Park (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.