Tommy Norris
Courtside Action π
Fumano's Magic
Romantic Ride
Southern Melodee
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Courtside Actionπ Winner
Best Each-Way Bet: Fumano's Magic
Surprise Package: Romantic Ride
The 21:32 at Santa Anita (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 91.2, with the strongest runner rated 102 and the weakest at 83. The average time since last run across the field is 32.5 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 3 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Tamarando Beach
Recent form figures of 451-55 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 87 places this runner below the field average (91.2) by 4.2 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 2lb advantage over the top weight and 1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days away - 2.5 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (71.5%) by 7.5%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Kyle Frey and trainer R Ellis completes the picture for this runner.
Tommy Norris
Recent form figures of 8-41145 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 83, this runner is rated 19 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.2 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (71.5%) by 6.5%, giving away 26% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Edwin Maldonado and trainer Librado Barocio completes the picture for this runner.
Courtside Action
Recent form figures of 1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 102, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 2lb advantage over the top weight and 1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 38 days away - 5.5 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Top of the tree on win chance at 91% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Gonzalez and trainer Andy Mathis completes the picture for this runner.
Fumano's Magic
Recent Form 32-2537 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 93 places this runner third on the figures, with the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 2lb advantage over the top weight and 1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 43 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 67% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 24% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Tiago Pereira and trainer Val Brinkerhoff completes the picture for this runner.
Romantic Ride
Recent form figures of 2-21152 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 97, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days away - 2.5 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 80% projection places this runner second on the data, within 11% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Joel Rosario and trainer V Cerin completes the picture for this runner.
Southern Melodee
Recent form figures of 18-5155 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
An OR of 85 places this runner below the field average (91.2) by 6.2 points, giving away 17 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3
8-10
b, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 30 days, quicker back than the 32.5-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 62% - 29% below the top-rated and 9.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Armando Ayuso and trainer Craig Dollase completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:32 at Santa Anita (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.