Gregory's Pride π
Rhythem On Stage
Sark
Cupid's Crusader
Kimmer
Gazon
Travelin' Show
El Bromista
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Gregory's Prideπ Winner
Best Each-Way Bet: Gazon
Surprise Package: Rhythem On Stage
The 22:36 at Santa Anita (usa) features a field of 8 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 92.8, with the strongest runner rated 99 and the weakest at 79. The average time since last run across the field is 31.3 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 6 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Gregory's Pride
Recent Form 6863/52 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 99, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 8
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 63 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 61% win chance places this runner below the field average (66.4%) by 5.4%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey A Fresu and trainer Philip D Amato completes the picture for this runner.
Rhythem On Stage
Recent Form 636-242 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 95 and only 4 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 6
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 44 days away - 12.7 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (66.4%) by 1.4%, giving away 10% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Gonzalez and trainer Carla Gaines completes the picture for this runner.
Sark
Recent form figures of 3-13471 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 79, this runner is rated 20 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 6
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 40 days away - 8.7 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Third on the win chance ratings at 71% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Armando Aguilar and trainer Gloria Haley completes the picture for this runner.
Cupid's Crusader
Recent Form 443336 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 92 places this runner below the field average (92.8) by 0.8 points, giving away 7 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 7
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (66.4%) by 1.4%, giving away 10% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jeremy Laprida and trainer Genaro Vallejo completes the picture for this runner.
Kimmer
Recent Form 3/8-6837 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
The 93 official rating sits above the field average (92.8), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 31.3-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 55% - 20% below the top-rated and 11.4% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Hector Berrios and trainer Genaro Vallejo completes the picture for this runner.
Gazon
Recent form figures of 55/151-2 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 97 and only 2 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 31.3-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 75% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Joel Rosario and trainer John Sadler completes the picture for this runner.
Travelin' Show
Recent form figures of 4135-65 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Second-best on the numbers at 98, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 31.3-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (66.4%) by 2.4%, giving away 11% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Juan Hernandez and trainer Craig Lewis completes the picture for this runner.
El Bromista
Recent form figures of 2/3134-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 89 places this runner below the field average (92.8) by 3.8 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 6
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 31.3-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 75% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Tyler Baze and trainer Blaine Wright completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 22:36 at Santa Anita (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.