Race Type
Race 3 - Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
Global Empire
Lucky Boss
Blurt
New Year Surprise
People Force
U S Honour Nap
Global Empire
Lucky Boss
Blurt
New Year Surprise
People Force
U S Honour Nap
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Blurt
Best Each-Way Bet: Blurt
Surprise Package: Global Empire
The 21:43 at Hawthorne (usa) features a field of 12 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 72.5, with the strongest runner rated 83 and the weakest at 64. The average time since last run across the field is 53.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Global Empire
Recent Form 237805 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Top-rated on the numbers at 83, holding a useful 4-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 18 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The weakest win chance in the field at 45% - 19% below the top-rated and 9.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer John Haran completes the picture for this runner.
Lucky Boss
Recent form figures of 4504-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 78 and only 5 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 55% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Alexander Bendezu and trainer Hugo Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.
Blurt
Form figures of 57494-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 64, this runner is rated 19 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.5 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 48% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.3%) by 6.3%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Colon and trainer Ruben Cruz completes the picture for this runner.
New Year Surprise
Recent Form 332-966 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 64, this runner is rated 19 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.5 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 56% and only 8% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Israel Hernandez and trainer Heriberto Villalobos completes the picture for this runner.
People Force
Recent form figures of 042515 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 79 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Third highest in the weights at 6
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 6 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 58% and only 6% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Julio Felix and trainer Francisco Villa completes the picture for this runner.
U S Honour Nap
Recent Form 558222- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (72.5) by 5.5 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 7
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 199 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 64% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Ruben Cruz completes the picture for this runner.
Global Empire
Recent Form 237805 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Top-rated on the numbers at 83, holding a useful 4-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 18 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The weakest win chance in the field at 45% - 19% below the top-rated and 9.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer John Haran completes the picture for this runner.
Lucky Boss
Recent form figures of 4504-51 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 78 and only 5 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 55% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Alexander Bendezu and trainer Hugo Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.
Blurt
Form figures of 57494-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 64, this runner is rated 19 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.5 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 48% win chance places this runner below the field average (54.3%) by 6.3%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Colon and trainer Ruben Cruz completes the picture for this runner.
New Year Surprise
Recent Form 332-966 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 64, this runner is rated 19 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.5 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 8
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 56% and only 8% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Israel Hernandez and trainer Heriberto Villalobos completes the picture for this runner.
People Force
Recent form figures of 042515 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 79 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Third highest in the weights at 6
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 6 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 28 days, quicker back than the 53.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 58% and only 6% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Julio Felix and trainer Francisco Villa completes the picture for this runner.
U S Honour Nap
Recent Form 558222- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (72.5) by 5.5 points, giving away 16 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 7
8-11 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 7 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 199 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 64% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Ruben Cruz completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:43 at Hawthorne (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.