Race Type
Race 6 - Claiming
Race Class
3YO plus
Race Going
Dirt (Dirt)
Kind Kismet
She Stopped Short
Annie's Hope
Sharp Attack
Sky Raven
Two Timer
Illy Simz
Kind Kismet
She Stopped Short
Annie's Hope
Sharp Attack
Sky Raven
Two Timer
Illy Simz
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Illy Simz
Best Each-Way Bet: Illy Simz
Surprise Package: Kind Kismet
The 23:13 at Hawthorne (usa) features a field of 14 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 54.3, with the strongest runner rated 76 and the weakest at 40. The average time since last run across the field is 48.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Kind Kismet
Recent form figures of 444215- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 67 places this runner third on the figures, with the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 221 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Third on the win chance ratings at 70% and only 3% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Joel Berndt completes the picture for this runner.
She Stopped Short
Recent Form 4-45522 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 64 official rating sits above the field average (54.3), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 67% and only 6% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Israel Hernandez and trainer Joel Campbell completes the picture for this runner.
Annie's Hope
Recent Form 3297-36 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 40, this runner is rated 36 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 14.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (59.9%) by 4.9%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Julio Felix and trainer Francisco Villa completes the picture for this runner.
Sharp Attack
Recent Form 2343-33 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 76, enjoying a commanding 9-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 14-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 73% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer Dino Dizeo completes the picture for this runner.
Sky Raven
Recent form 280-445 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 43 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 11.3 points, giving away 33 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 25% below the top-rated and 11.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Olaf Hernandez and trainer Rigo Rosas completes the picture for this runner.
Two Timer
Form figures of 4587-55 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 42 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 12.3 points, giving away 34 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 25% below the top-rated and 11.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Emmanuel Giles and trainer Heriberto Villalobos completes the picture for this runner.
Illy Simz
Recent form figures of 220616 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 48 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 6.3 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (59.9%) by 1.9%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Colon and trainer Manny Perez completes the picture for this runner.
Kind Kismet
Recent form figures of 444215- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 67 places this runner third on the figures, with the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 221 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Third on the win chance ratings at 70% and only 3% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Javier Tavares and trainer Joel Berndt completes the picture for this runner.
She Stopped Short
Recent Form 4-45522 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 64 official rating sits above the field average (54.3), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 67% and only 6% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Israel Hernandez and trainer Joel Campbell completes the picture for this runner.
Annie's Hope
Recent Form 3297-36 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 40, this runner is rated 36 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 14.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (59.9%) by 4.9%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Julio Felix and trainer Francisco Villa completes the picture for this runner.
Sharp Attack
Recent Form 2343-33 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 76, enjoying a commanding 9-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 14-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 73% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer Dino Dizeo completes the picture for this runner.
Sky Raven
Recent form 280-445 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 43 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 11.3 points, giving away 33 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 25% below the top-rated and 11.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Olaf Hernandez and trainer Rigo Rosas completes the picture for this runner.
Two Timer
Form figures of 4587-55 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 42 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 12.3 points, giving away 34 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 48% - 25% below the top-rated and 11.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Emmanuel Giles and trainer Heriberto Villalobos completes the picture for this runner.
Illy Simz
Recent form figures of 220616 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 48 places this runner below the field average (54.3) by 6.3 points, giving away 28 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 25 days, quicker back than the 48.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (59.9%) by 1.9%, giving away 15% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Colon and trainer Manny Perez completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 23:13 at Hawthorne (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.