R Barracuda
Adios Nicanor
Louie The First
Convey To Me
Conrad Meadows
More Than Ordinary
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Convey To Me
Best Each-Way Bet: Louie The First
Surprise Package: More Than Ordinary
The 21:50 at Emerald Downs (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 73.8, with the strongest runner rated 84 and the weakest at 50. The average time since last run across the field is 68.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
R Barracuda
Recent form figures of 1-52554 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Top-rated horse at 84, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 68.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 67% and only 8% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Alex Cruz and trainer Jaymie Cruz completes the picture for this runner.
Adios Nicanor
Recent form figures of 21/3526- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Second-best on the numbers at 82, lying just 2 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 279 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Top of the tree on win chance at 75% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Adrian Castellanos and trainer Preston Boyd completes the picture for this runner.
Louie The First
Recent form figures of 6/1572-3 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Third on the ratings at 81 and only 3 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 68.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 69% projection places this runner second on the data, within 6% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Karlo Lopez and trainer Blaine Wright completes the picture for this runner.
Convey To Me
Recent form figures of 771821 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 66 places this runner below the field average (73.8) by 7.8 points, giving away 18 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 61% win chance places this runner below the field average (63.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 14% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Silvio Amador and trainer Charles Essex completes the picture for this runner.
Conrad Meadows
Recent form figures of 21785-2 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 80 and only 4 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 68.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 62% win chance places this runner below the field average (63.5%) by 1.5%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Francisco Diaz Lopez and trainer Jose Navarro completes the picture for this runner.
More Than Ordinary
Recent form figures of 530-19 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 50, this runner is rated 34 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 23.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-6, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 5.8lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 60 days, quicker back than the 68.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 47% - 28% below the top-rated and 16.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Frank Alvarado and trainer Victor Trujillo completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 21:50 at Emerald Downs (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.