Wood Ceiling
Street Vendor
Chief Wild Eagle
Jullian In Paris
Benny Buckets
My Vino
Y Vee R
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Benny Buckets
Best Each-Way Bet: Chief Wild Eagle
Surprise Package: Jullian In Paris
The 22:47 at Emerald Downs (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 89.7, with the strongest runner rated 96 and the weakest at 82. The average time since last run across the field is 47.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 4 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Wood Ceiling
Recent Form 346443 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated on the numbers at 96, holding a useful 4-point edge over the opposition and entitled to respect on the figures.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 64% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Isaias Enriquez and trainer Frank Lucarelli completes the picture for this runner.
Street Vendor
Form figures of 674443 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 88 places this runner below the field average (89.7) by 1.7 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (67.1%) by 9.1%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Blake Nunnally and trainer Jose Puentes completes the picture for this runner.
Chief Wild Eagle
Form figures of 62-7455 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 89 places this runner below the field average (89.7) by 0.7 points, giving away 7 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 7-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 47.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 56% - 20% below the top-rated and 11.1% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Frank Alvarado and trainer Tim McCanna completes the picture for this runner.
Jullian In Paris
Recent Form 435232 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 91 and only 5 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 47.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 71% and only 5% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Kevin Krigger and trainer Charles Essex completes the picture for this runner.
Benny Buckets
Recent form figures of 182212 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 92, this runner sits second on the figures though the 4-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 5
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 5 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Top of the tree on win chance at 76% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Silvio Amador and trainer James Gilmour completes the picture for this runner.
My Vino
Recent form figures of 424511 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 90 official rating sits above the field average (89.7), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 47.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 74%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Adrian Castellanos and trainer Frank Lucarelli completes the picture for this runner.
Y Vee R
Recent form figures of 147223- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 82, this runner is rated 14 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7.7 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 8
8-10, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 1.3lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 8 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 231 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Third on the win chance ratings at 71% and only 5% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Karlo Lopez and trainer Robert Gilker completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 22:47 at Emerald Downs (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.