Track

Penn National

Race Time

23:14

Race Type

Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming

Race Class

3YO plus

1

Blame The Banker

4 8-10
OR 82
Jockey
Angel Rodriguez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Brandon Kulp 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 45%
Recent Form
9
7
5
5
6
4
Last active
39
2

Risk And Regret

4 8-10
OR 77
Jockey
David Cora 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Tim Woolley 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
3
7
1
6
3
8
Last active
214
Odds Movement +27.27%
Opening
5.50
Latest
7
3

Ecliptical Gina

4 8-10
OR 79
Jockey
Ricardo Chiappe 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Flint Stites 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 67%
Recent Form
6
2
3
2
5
4
Last active
27
Odds Movement +14.29%
Opening
7.00
Latest
8
4

Octet

4 8-10
OR 54
Jockey
Inoel Beato 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Mark Salvaggio 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 50%
Recent Form
2
1
0
0
4
4
Last active
14
Odds Movement +36.36%
Opening
11.00
Latest
15
5

Avril

4 8-10
OR 43
Jockey
Leonardo Corujo 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Erin Carpio 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 55%
Recent Form
5
6
2
7
6
4
Last active
41
Improving (3R)Class Change
Odds Movement -9.52%
Opening
21.00
Latest
19
6

Pap's Lil Patriot

4 8-10
OR 55
Jockey
Raul Mena 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Milan Milosevic 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 38%
Recent Form
5
3
7
9
0
6
Last active
27
Odds Movement +15.38%
Opening
13.00
Latest
15
7

Opera De Ravel

5 8-10
OR 91
Jockey
Jomar Torres 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Richard Hendriks 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 89%
Recent Form
2
/
D
1
3
Last active
39
Class Change
Odds Movement -3.78%
Opening
4.50
Latest
4.33
8

Blonde Samaritan

6 8-10
OR 74
Jockey
Eddie Dominguez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Jose Ramirez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 33%
Recent Form
5
7
5
0
5
0
Last active
214
Odds Movement +9.52%
Opening
21.00
Latest
23
9

Eleanor Rigby

4 8-10
OR 42
Jockey
Adam Bowman 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Eli Betancourt 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
3
9
5
4
2
5
Last active
37
Odds Movement -6.45%
Opening
31.00
Latest
29
10

Saint Grace

4 8-10
OR 51
Jockey
Anthony Salgado 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Miguel Rodriguez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 47%
Recent Form
0
4
6
2
5
7
Last active
24
Class Change
Odds Movement -25.81%
Opening
31.00
Latest
23
11

Keystormrising

5 8-10
OR 59
Jockey
Luis Ocasio 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Alan Bedard 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 56%
Recent Form
3
4
7
5
3
7
Last active
16
Odds Movement -6.45%
Opening
31.00
Latest
29
12

Quiet City

4 8-12
OR 52
Jockey
Angel Quinones 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Elisha Perez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 70%
Recent Form
6
3
3
1
Last active
21
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -18.75%
Opening
16.00
Latest
13
13

Blame The Banker

4 8-10
OR 82
Jockey
Angel Rodriguez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Brandon Kulp 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 45%
Recent Form
9
7
5
5
6
4
Last active
39
14

Risk And Regret

4 8-10
OR 77
Jockey
David Cora 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Tim Woolley 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
3
7
1
6
3
8
Last active
214
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
5.50
Latest
0
15

Ecliptical Gina

4 8-10
OR 79
Jockey
Ricardo Chiappe 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Flint Stites 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 67%
Recent Form
6
2
3
2
5
4
Last active
27
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
7.00
Latest
0
16

Octet

4 8-10
OR 54
Jockey
Inoel Beato 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Mark Salvaggio 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 50%
Recent Form
2
1
0
0
4
4
Last active
14
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
11.00
Latest
0
17

Avril

4 8-10
OR 43
Jockey
Leonardo Corujo 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Erin Carpio 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 55%
Recent Form
5
6
2
7
6
4
Last active
41
Improving (3R)Class Change
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
21.00
Latest
0
18

Pap's Lil Patriot

4 8-10
OR 55
Jockey
Raul Mena 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Milan Milosevic 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 38%
Recent Form
5
3
7
9
0
6
Last active
27
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
13.00
Latest
0
19

Opera De Ravel

5 8-10
OR 91
Jockey
Jomar Torres 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Richard Hendriks 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 89%
Recent Form
2
/
D
1
3
Last active
39
Class Change
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
4.50
Latest
0
20

Blonde Samaritan

6 8-10
OR 74
Jockey
Eddie Dominguez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Jose Ramirez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 33%
Recent Form
5
7
5
0
5
0
Last active
214
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
21.00
Latest
0
21

Eleanor Rigby

4 8-10
OR 42
Jockey
Adam Bowman 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Eli Betancourt 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
3
9
5
4
2
5
Last active
37
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
31.00
Latest
0
22

Saint Grace

4 8-10
OR 51
Jockey
Anthony Salgado 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Miguel Rodriguez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 47%
Recent Form
0
4
6
2
5
7
Last active
24
Class Change
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
31.00
Latest
0
23

Keystormrising

5 8-10
OR 59
Jockey
Luis Ocasio 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Alan Bedard 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 56%
Recent Form
3
4
7
5
3
7
Last active
16
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
31.00
Latest
0
24

Quiet City

4 8-12
OR 52
Jockey
Angel Quinones 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Elisha Perez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 70%
Recent Form
6
3
3
1
Last active
21
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
16.00
Latest
0

Form Annotations

  • ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
  • Improving Last 3 Races
  • Improved A lot Last 2 Races
  • Placed Last 3 Races
  • Likely jumped up in class
  • Likely dropped in class
Note: The color-coded notifications highlight noteworthy trends in the horse’s recent form.

Abbreviations

Form: Last 5 runs (most recent on right)
OR: Official Rating
Age & Wgt: Age & Weight to carry (stones-pounds)
Last Active: Number of days since the horse last raced
Odds: Betting odds at time of posting

Race Prediction

Top Pick: Opera De Ravel

Best Each-Way Bet: Opera De Ravel

Surprise Package: Avril

The 23:14 at Penn National (usa) features a field of 24 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 63.3, with the strongest runner rated 91 and the weakest at 42. The average time since last run across the field is 59.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.



Blame The Banker
Form figures of 975-564 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 82 places this runner third on the figures, with the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 39 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 10.5%, giving away 44% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Angel Rodriguez and trainer Brandon Kulp completes the picture for this runner.


Risk And Regret
Recent form figures of 371638- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 77 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 14-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 214 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The 58% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 31% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey David Cora and trainer Tim Woolley completes the picture for this runner.


Ecliptical Gina
Recent Form 6232-54 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 79 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 67% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 22% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Chiappe and trainer Flint Stites completes the picture for this runner.


Octet
Recent form figures of 2100-44 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 54 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 9.3 points, giving away 37 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 5.5%, giving away 39% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Inoel Beato and trainer Mark Salvaggio completes the picture for this runner.


Avril
Form figures of 562-764 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 43 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 20.3 points, giving away 48 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 41 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 0.5%, giving away 34% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Leonardo Corujo and trainer Erin Carpio completes the picture for this runner.


Pap's Lil Patriot
Recent form 5379-06 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 55 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 8.3 points, giving away 36 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 38% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 17.5%, giving away 51% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Raul Mena and trainer Milan Milosevic completes the picture for this runner.


Opera De Ravel
Recent form figures of 2/D13 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 91, enjoying a commanding 9-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 24-runner field.
Third highest in the weights at 5 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 39 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 89% win probability - a 56% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jomar Torres and trainer Richard Hendriks completes the picture for this runner.


Blonde Samaritan
Recent form 575050- contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
The 74 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 17-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 6 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 214 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The weakest win chance in the field at 33% - 56% below the top-rated and 22.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Eddie Dominguez and trainer Jose Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.


Eleanor Rigby
Recent Form 395425 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 42, this runner is rated 49 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 21.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 37 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 58% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 31% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Adam Bowman and trainer Eli Betancourt completes the picture for this runner.


Saint Grace
Recent form 0-46257 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 51 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 12.3 points, giving away 40 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 47% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 8.5%, giving away 42% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Anthony Salgado and trainer Miguel Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.


Keystormrising
Recent Form 34-7537 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 59 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 4.3 points, giving away 32 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 5 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 56% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 33% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Luis Ocasio and trainer Alan Bedard completes the picture for this runner.


Quiet City
Recent form figures of 6331 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 52 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 11.3 points, giving away 39 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 70% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 19% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Angel Quinones and trainer Elisha Perez completes the picture for this runner.


Blame The Banker
Form figures of 975-564 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 82 places this runner third on the figures, with the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 39 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 10.5%, giving away 44% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Angel Rodriguez and trainer Brandon Kulp completes the picture for this runner.


Risk And Regret
Recent form figures of 371638- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 77 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 14-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 214 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The 58% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 31% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey David Cora and trainer Tim Woolley completes the picture for this runner.


Ecliptical Gina
Recent Form 6232-54 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 79 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 67% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 22% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Chiappe and trainer Flint Stites completes the picture for this runner.


Octet
Recent form figures of 2100-44 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 54 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 9.3 points, giving away 37 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 14 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 5.5%, giving away 39% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Inoel Beato and trainer Mark Salvaggio completes the picture for this runner.


Avril
Form figures of 562-764 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 43 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 20.3 points, giving away 48 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 41 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 0.5%, giving away 34% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Leonardo Corujo and trainer Erin Carpio completes the picture for this runner.


Pap's Lil Patriot
Recent form 5379-06 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 55 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 8.3 points, giving away 36 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 38% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 17.5%, giving away 51% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Raul Mena and trainer Milan Milosevic completes the picture for this runner.


Opera De Ravel
Recent form figures of 2/D13 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 91, enjoying a commanding 9-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 24-runner field.
Third highest in the weights at 5 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 39 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 89% win probability - a 56% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jomar Torres and trainer Richard Hendriks completes the picture for this runner.


Blonde Samaritan
Recent form 575050- contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
The 74 official rating sits above the field average (63.3), though the 17-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 6 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 214 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The weakest win chance in the field at 33% - 56% below the top-rated and 22.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Eddie Dominguez and trainer Jose Ramirez completes the picture for this runner.


Eleanor Rigby
Recent Form 395425 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 42, this runner is rated 49 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 21.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 37 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 58% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 31% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Adam Bowman and trainer Eli Betancourt completes the picture for this runner.


Saint Grace
Recent form 0-46257 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 51 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 12.3 points, giving away 40 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 4 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 24 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 47% win chance places this runner below the field average (55.5%) by 8.5%, giving away 42% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Anthony Salgado and trainer Miguel Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.


Keystormrising
Recent Form 34-7537 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 59 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 4.3 points, giving away 32 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 5 8-10 and only 2lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 16 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 56% projection sits above the field average (55.5%), though the 33% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Luis Ocasio and trainer Alan Bedard completes the picture for this runner.


Quiet City
Recent form figures of 6331 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 52 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 11.3 points, giving away 39 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 59.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 70% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 19% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Angel Quinones and trainer Elisha Perez completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 23:14 at Penn National (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.