Three Shot Sheryl
My Gun's Loaded
Pippa Adds
Cold Spell
Fusion
Nakoma
Crowning Glory
My Sherrona
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Pippa Adds
Best Each-Way Bet: Cold Spell
Surprise Package: My Sherrona
The 16:00 at Saratoga (usa) features a field of 8 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 81, with the strongest runner rated 95 and the weakest at 61. The average time since last run across the field is 68 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
Three Shot Sheryl
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jaime Rodriguez and trainer Amelia Green completes the picture for this runner.
My Gun's Loaded
Form figures of 8- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 61, this runner is rated 34 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 20 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 161-day absence - 93 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The weakest win chance in the field at 27% - 73% below the top-rated and 48.5% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Chad Brown completes the picture for this runner.
Pippa Adds
Form figures of 42 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 81 official rating sits above the field average (81), though the 14-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 44 days, quicker back than the 68-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer Todd Pletcher completes the picture for this runner.
Cold Spell
Form figures of 2 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 95, enjoying a commanding 8-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 44 days, quicker back than the 68-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 82% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 18% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey John Velazquez and trainer Wesley Ward completes the picture for this runner.
Fusion
Form figures of 2 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 77 places this runner below the field average (81) by 4 points, giving away 18 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 90-day absence - 22 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
A 82% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 18% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer Chad Brown completes the picture for this runner.
Nakoma
Form figures of 3 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 85 places this runner third on the figures, with the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 68-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.5%) by 2.5%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Edgard Zayas and trainer Jena Antonucci completes the picture for this runner.
Crowning Glory
No recent form data is available for this runner, making it difficult to assess current competitive level based on past performances alone.
No official rating is available for this runner, making it impossible to benchmark against the opposition on official figures alone.
Third highest in the weights at 3
8-9 and only 5lb off the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 0 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 100% win probability - a 73% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Junior Alvarado and trainer William Mott completes the picture for this runner.
My Sherrona
Recent Form 252364- demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Rated 87, this runner sits second on the figures though the 8-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 4
9-0, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 176 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 67% win chance places this runner below the field average (75.5%) by 8.5%, giving away 33% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Luis Saez and trainer William Mott completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 16:00 at Saratoga (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.