Track

Saratoga

Race Time

21:52

1

Gilded Bandit

3 8-12
OR 98
Jockey
Junior Alvarado 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
William Mott 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 82%
Recent Form
4
1
1
Last active
35
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
9.00
Latest
0
2

Obliteration

3 8-12
OR 108
Jockey
John Velazquez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 82%
Recent Form
2
2
4
1
2
1
Last active
21
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
9.00
Latest
0
3

Six Speed

3 8-12
OR 86
Jockey
Irad Ortiz Jr 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
George Weaver 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 71%
Recent Form
3
1
1
1
2
0
Last active
35
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
11.00
Latest
0
4

Stradale

3 8-12
OR 99
Jockey
Ricardo Jr Santana 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Steven Asmussen 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 79%
Recent Form
2
5
1
3
1
2
Last active
36
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
16.00
Latest
0
5

Solitude Dude

3 8-12
OR 105
Jockey
Flavien Prat 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
S Joseph Jr 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 87%
Recent Form
1
1
1
3
1
Last active
49
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
7.00
Latest
0
6

Crude Velocity

3 8-12
OR 113
Jockey
Florent Geroux 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Bob Baffert 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 91%
Recent Form
1
1
1
Last active
35
Placed (3R)
7

Englishman

3 8-12
OR 104
Jockey
Jose Ortiz 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Cherie Devaux 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 88%
Recent Form
1
1
2
Last active
35
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
4.00
Latest
0
8

Civil Liberty

3 8-12
OR 102
Jockey
A Fresu 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Doug O'Neill 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 78%
Recent Form
2
3
4
2
1
Last active
55
Improving (3R)Class Change
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
11.00
Latest
0
9

Taj Mahal

3 8-12
OR 98
Jockey
Manuel Franco 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Brittany Russell 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 68%
Recent Form
1
1
1
0
Last active
21
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
16.00
Latest
0

Form Annotations

  • ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
  • Improving Last 3 Races
  • Improved A lot Last 2 Races
  • Placed Last 3 Races
  • Likely jumped up in class
  • Likely dropped in class
Note: The color-coded notifications highlight noteworthy trends in the horse’s recent form.

Abbreviations

Form: Last 5 runs (most recent on right)
OR: Official Rating
Age & Wgt: Age & Weight to carry (stones-pounds)
Last Active: Number of days since the horse last raced
Odds: Betting odds at time of posting

Race Prediction

Top Pick: Six Speed

Best Each-Way Bet: Obliteration

Surprise Package: Solitude Dude

The 21:52 at Saratoga (usa) features a field of 9 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 101.4, with the strongest runner rated 113 and the weakest at 86. The average time since last run across the field is 35.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 8 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.



Gilded Bandit
Recent form figures of 411 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 98 places this runner below the field average (101.4) by 3.4 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 35.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 82% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Junior Alvarado and trainer William Mott completes the picture for this runner.


Obliteration
Recent form figures of 224-121 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 108, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 21 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Above the field average on win chance at 82% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey John Velazquez and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.


Six Speed
Recent form figures of 31-1120 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 86, this runner is rated 27 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 15.4 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 35.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 71% win chance places this runner below the field average (80.7%) by 9.7%, giving away 20% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer George Weaver completes the picture for this runner.


Stradale
Recent form figures of 2513-12 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 99 places this runner below the field average (101.4) by 2.4 points, giving away 14 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 36 days away - 0.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 79% win chance places this runner below the field average (80.7%) by 1.7%, giving away 12% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Ricardo Jr Santana and trainer Steven Asmussen completes the picture for this runner.


Solitude Dude
Recent form figures of 11-131 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 105 places this runner third on the figures, with the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 49 days away - 13.2 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
Third on the win chance ratings at 87% and only 4% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer S Joseph Jr completes the picture for this runner.


Crude Velocity
Recent form figures of 111 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 113, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 9-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 35.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 91% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Florent Geroux and trainer Bob Baffert completes the picture for this runner.


Englishman
Recent form figures of 1-12 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 104 official rating sits above the field average (101.4), though the 9-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 35.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 88%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Jose Ortiz and trainer Cherie Devaux completes the picture for this runner.


Civil Liberty
Recent form figures of 234-21 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 102 official rating sits above the field average (101.4), though the 11-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 55 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 78% win chance places this runner below the field average (80.7%) by 2.7%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey A Fresu and trainer Doug O'Neill completes the picture for this runner.


Taj Mahal
Recent form figures of 1110 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 98 places this runner below the field average (101.4) by 3.4 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 3 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 3 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 21 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The weakest win chance in the field at 68% - 23% below the top-rated and 12.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer Brittany Russell completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 21:52 at Saratoga (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.