Track

Saratoga

Race Time

23:11

1

Tiz Dashing

4 8-10
OR 113
Jockey
Javier Castellano 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Barclay Tagg 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 67%
Recent Form
3
8
1
2
1
7
Last active
57
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
31.00
Latest
0
2

Test Score

4 8-12
OR 110
Jockey
Manuel Franco 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
H Motion 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 70%
Recent Form
3
4
1
3
1
8
Last active
35
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
13.00
Latest
0
3

Make Me King

6 8-10
OR 118
Jockey
Jose Ortiz 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
H A Al 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 65%
Recent Form
8
3
5
1
4
2
Last active
35
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
9.00
Latest
0
4

Integration

6 8-8
OR 121
Jockey
John Velazquez 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
III Claude McGaughey 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 73%
Recent Form
2
7
2
3
3
1
Last active
30
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
13.00
Latest
0
5

Deterministic

5 8-12
OR 119
Jockey
Kendrick Carmouche 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Miguel Clement 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 91%
Recent Form
1
/
2
1
1
1
1
Last active
35
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
4.50
Latest
0
6

Bright Picture

5 8-10
OR 111
Jockey
Flavien Prat 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
A Fabre 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 77%
Recent Form
1
3
7
1
1
2
Last active
41
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
4.00
Latest
0
7

Rhetorical

5 8-12
OR 116
Jockey
Irad Ortiz Jr 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
William Walden 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 83%
Recent Form
1
1
1
4
3
1
Last active
35
Improving (3R)Class Change
8

One Stripe

4 8-12
OR 117
Jockey
Gavin Lerena 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
H Motion 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 59%
Recent Form
6
5
0
1
2
2
Last active
57
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
7.00
Latest
0
9

Battle Of Normandy

6 8-8
OR 115
Jockey
Dylan Davis 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
III Claude McGaughey 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 74%
Recent Form
1
1
/
0
3
2
2
Last active
35
Placed (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
21.00
Latest
0

Form Annotations

  • ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
  • Improving Last 3 Races
  • Improved A lot Last 2 Races
  • Placed Last 3 Races
  • Likely jumped up in class
  • Likely dropped in class
Note: The color-coded notifications highlight noteworthy trends in the horse’s recent form.

Abbreviations

Form: Last 5 runs (most recent on right)
OR: Official Rating
Age & Wgt: Age & Weight to carry (stones-pounds)
Last Active: Number of days since the horse last raced
Odds: Betting odds at time of posting

Race Prediction

Top Pick: Rhetorical

Best Each-Way Bet: Integration

Surprise Package: Deterministic

The 23:11 at Saratoga (usa) features a field of 9 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 115.6, with the strongest runner rated 121 and the weakest at 110. The average time since last run across the field is 40 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 9 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.



Tiz Dashing
Recent form figures of 3812-17 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 113 places this runner below the field average (115.6) by 2.6 points, giving away 8 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 4 8-10 places this runner below the field average by 0.4lb, giving away 2lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 57 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 67% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.2%) by 6.2%, giving away 24% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Javier Castellano and trainer Barclay Tagg completes the picture for this runner.


Test Score
Recent form figures of 3413-18 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 110, this runner is rated 11 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 5.6 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 40-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 70% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.2%) by 3.2%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Manuel Franco and trainer H Motion completes the picture for this runner.


Make Me King
Recent form figures of 835-142 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 118 and only 3 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
An allocation of 6 8-10 places this runner below the field average by 0.4lb, giving away 2lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 40-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 65% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.2%) by 8.2%, giving away 26% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jose Ortiz and trainer H A Al completes the picture for this runner.


Integration
Recent form figures of 2723-31 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 121, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 6 8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 2.4lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The shortest absence in the race at 30 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 73% win chance places this runner below the field average (73.2%) by 0.2%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey John Velazquez and trainer III Claude McGaughey completes the picture for this runner.


Deterministic
Recent form figures of 1/2111-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 119, lying just 2 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 40-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 91% win probability - a 32% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Kendrick Carmouche and trainer Miguel Clement completes the picture for this runner.


Bright Picture
Recent form figures of 137-112 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 111 places this runner below the field average (115.6) by 4.6 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 5 8-10 places this runner below the field average by 0.4lb, giving away 2lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 41 days away - 1 days longer than the field average - may benefit from freshening up though race fitness is a question against sharper rivals.
A 77% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 14% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Flavien Prat and trainer A Fabre completes the picture for this runner.


Rhetorical
Recent form figures of 1114-31 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 116 and only 5 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 5 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 40-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 83% projection places this runner second on the data, within 8% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Irad Ortiz Jr and trainer William Walden completes the picture for this runner.


One Stripe
Recent form figures of 6501-22 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Above the field average on OR at 117 and only 4 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 57 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The weakest win chance in the field at 59% - 32% below the top-rated and 14.2% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Gavin Lerena and trainer H Motion completes the picture for this runner.


Battle Of Normandy
Recent form figures of 11/0-322 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 115 places this runner below the field average (115.6) by 0.6 points, giving away 6 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 6 8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 2.4lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 40-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 74% projection sits above the field average (73.2%), though the 17% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Dylan Davis and trainer III Claude McGaughey completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 23:11 at Saratoga (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.