Mad Magic
Retail Man
Thirty Oysters
Co Conspirator
Iron Man Ira
Gliding Afleet
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Co Conspirator
Best Each-Way Bet: Gliding Afleet
Surprise Package: Iron Man Ira
The 18:24 at Finger Lakes (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 63.3, with the strongest runner rated 81 and the weakest at 44. The average time since last run across the field is 110.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Mad Magic
Recent form figures of 172536- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 81, enjoying a commanding 11-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A lengthy 196-day absence - 85.3 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 64% win probability - a 34% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luis Perez and trainer Michael Ferraro completes the picture for this runner.
Retail Man
Form figures of 6645-66 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 57 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 6.3 points, giving away 24 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 15 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
A 50% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 14% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Oscar Gomez and trainer Matthew Clarke completes the picture for this runner.
Thirty Oysters
Form figures of 586629- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 69 places this runner third on the figures, with the 12-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 209 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (48.3%) by 3.3%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey J Rohena and trainer Jose Rohena completes the picture for this runner.
Co Conspirator
Recent form figures of 72179-0 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 59 places this runner below the field average (63.3) by 4.3 points, giving away 22 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 110.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 44% win chance places this runner below the field average (48.3%) by 4.3%, giving away 20% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Nazario Alvarado and trainer Luis Gutierrez completes the picture for this runner.
Iron Man Ira
Form figures of 8889-76 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 44, this runner is rated 37 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 19.3 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 5 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 15 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The weakest win chance in the field at 30% - 34% below the top-rated and 18.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Michael Jr Davila and trainer Matthew Clarke completes the picture for this runner.
Gliding Afleet
Recent form figures of 68/7147- reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 70, this runner sits second on the figures though the 11-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 209 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 57% projection places this runner second on the data, within 7% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Steven Fret and trainer Dana Saul completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:24 at Finger Lakes (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.