Evanderkeen
Bolt To Run
Blame It On Daddy
Mercilesanihilator
Notfanutin
Go Yoshida
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Blame It On Daddy
Best Each-Way Bet: Go Yoshida
Surprise Package: Mercilesanihilator
The 19:22 at Finger Lakes (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 76.2, with the strongest runner rated 85 and the weakest at 68. The average time since last run across the field is 24.8 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.
Evanderkeen
Recent form figures of 721275 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 85, enjoying a commanding 7-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Second highest in the weights at 5
8-10, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Third on the win chance ratings at 64% and only 7% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jacqueline Davis and trainer Troy Smith completes the picture for this runner.
Bolt To Run
Form figures of 548-456 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 72 places this runner below the field average (76.2) by 4.2 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 4
8-10, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
The weakest win chance in the field at 52% - 19% below the top-rated and 9.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jose Ventura and trainer Ramon Sr Vazquez completes the picture for this runner.
Blame It On Daddy
Form figures of 66-6453 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 77 places this runner third on the figures, with the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 6
8-10, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 24.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.7%) by 6.7%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Andre Worrie and trainer Chris Englehart completes the picture for this runner.
Mercilesanihilator
Recent form figures of 64-2341 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 77 places this runner third on the figures, with the 8-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-5, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 4.5lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 67 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
Second on the win chance ratings at 70%, lying just 1% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Reylu Gutierrez and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.
Notfanutin
Recent form figures of 51-5674 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 68, this runner is rated 17 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 8.2 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Second highest in the weights at 4
8-10, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.7%) by 3.7%, giving away 13% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Emanuel Diego De and trainer Katlynn Gutterson completes the picture for this runner.
Go Yoshida
Recent form figures of 432-541 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Rated 78, this runner sits second on the figures though the 7-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 24.8-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Keiber Coa and trainer M Ferraro completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 19:22 at Finger Lakes (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.