Renew The Blue
Connect The Brocks
Racerx
Well Suited
Ragtime Prankster
Trew Violence
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Connect The Brocks
Best Each-Way Bet: Racerx
Surprise Package: Well Suited
The 18:53 at Finger Lakes (usa) features a field of 6 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 70.2, with the strongest runner rated 80 and the weakest at 65. The average time since last run across the field is 24.2 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Renew The Blue
Recent form figures of 17353-4 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 65, this runner is rated 15 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 5.2 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 24.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 65% and only 5% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jacqueline Davis and trainer Kathleen Mastin completes the picture for this runner.
Connect The Brocks
Form figures of 866454 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Rated 70, this runner sits second on the figures though the 10-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
The weakest win chance in the field at 50% - 20% below the top-rated and 11.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jeremias Flores and trainer Paul Barrow completes the picture for this runner.
Racerx
Recent form figures of 6331-43 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 70, this runner sits second on the figures though the 10-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 22 days, quicker back than the 24.2-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 70% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Kevin Navarro and trainer Jonathan Buckley completes the picture for this runner.
Well Suited
Recent Form 32644-3 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 69 places this runner below the field average (70.2) by 1.2 points, giving away 11 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Second on the win chance ratings at 67%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luis Pena and trainer John Grabowski completes the picture for this runner.
Ragtime Prankster
Recent form figures of 15557-D reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (70.2) by 3.2 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 13 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
Third on the win chance ratings at 65% and only 5% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey John Berrios and trainer Donna Bireta completes the picture for this runner.
Trew Violence
Recent form 5/470-65 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 80, enjoying a commanding 10-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 6-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 62 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 51% win chance places this runner below the field average (61.3%) by 10.3%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Oscar Gomez and trainer Linda Rice completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 18:53 at Finger Lakes (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.