Red Fern
Ghost Prince
King Reigert
Snovember
Support The Cat
Baytown Anubis
My Pal Max π
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: My Pal Maxπ Winner
Best Each-Way Bet: King Reigert
Surprise Package: Support The Cat
The 22:18 at Presque Isle Downs (usa) features a field of 7 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 65.1, with the strongest runner rated 79 and the weakest at 52. The average time since last run across the field is 15.4 days, indicating runners are generally race-fit. A notable majority of the field arrives off recent runs, suggesting most runners should be at peak fitness for this contest. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Red Fern
Recent form figures of 6-83716 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 52, this runner is rated 27 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-6, enjoying a 5lb advantage over the top weight and 3.9lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 15.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 53% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.3%) by 3.3%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Israel Rodriguez and trainer Darien Rodriguez completes the picture for this runner.
Ghost Prince
Recent Form 252826 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (65.1) by 0.1 points, giving away 14 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 34 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 62% projection places this runner second on the data, within 9% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Scott Spieth and trainer Justin Radosevich completes the picture for this runner.
King Reigert
Recent form figures of 16-9665 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 68 official rating sits above the field average (65.1), though the 11-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 15.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.3%) by 6.3%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Gaddiel Martinez and trainer Kevin Rice completes the picture for this runner.
Snovember
Recent form figures of 24152-5 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 69 places this runner third on the figures, with the 10-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 15.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
Top of the tree on win chance at 71% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Addiel Ayala and trainer Debbie Schaber completes the picture for this runner.
Support The Cat
Form figures of 364-474 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 52, this runner is rated 27 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 13.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 15.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 58% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 13% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Martina Rojas and trainer Katlynn Gutterson completes the picture for this runner.
Baytown Anubis
Recent form figures of 959331 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 71, this runner sits second on the figures though the 8-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
An allocation of 3
8-8 places this runner below the field average by 1.9lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 12 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 15.4 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (56.3%) by 1.3%, giving away 16% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Jahnxander Raspaldo
(7) and trainer Paul Mcentee completes the picture for this runner.
My Pal Max
Form figures of 82686-6 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 79, enjoying a commanding 8-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 7-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-11, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 6 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The weakest win chance in the field at 45% - 26% below the top-rated and 11.3% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Mike Allen and trainer John Fennessy completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 22:18 at Presque Isle Downs (usa) presents a competitive puzzle where form, fitness, and tactical positioning will all play their part in determining the outcome.