Luceo Non Uro
Mr Randy
City Tripper
Atwork
Fistfulofmoney
Sydney Street
Thalberg
Reteko
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Atwork
Best Each-Way Bet: Fistfulofmoney
Surprise Package: Luceo Non Uro
The 23:39 at Presque Isle Downs (usa) features a field of 8 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 84, with the strongest runner rated 92 and the weakest at 57. The average time since last run across the field is 20.9 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. With 4 runners rated 90 or higher, this race carries genuine quality throughout the upper echelons of the field.
Luceo Non Uro
Recent form figures of 5841-6 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 57, this runner is rated 35 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 27 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Above the field average on weights at 4
8-11 and only 2lb below the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The 28-day break is longer than the 20.9-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 56% win chance places this runner below the field average (65%) by 9%, giving away 29% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Martina Rojas and trainer Katlynn Gutterson completes the picture for this runner.
Mr Randy
Form figures of 379-757 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 83 places this runner below the field average (84) by 1 points, giving away 9 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-6, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 4.8lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 53 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
The weakest win chance in the field at 42% - 43% below the top-rated and 23% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Antonio Gallardo and trainer Tim Girten completes the picture for this runner.
City Tripper
Recent Form 3536-33 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Top-rated horse at 92, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Above the field average on weights at 6
8-11 and only 2lb below the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
The 65% projection sits above the field average (65%), though the 20% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Addiel Ayala and trainer Rory Barron completes the picture for this runner.
Atwork
Recent form figures of 42164-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Above the field average on OR at 89 and only 3 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 19 days, quicker back than the 20.9-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 73% win chance places this runner third on the data, with the 12% deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do on the figures.
The partnership of jockey Gaddiel Martinez and trainer Randall Russell completes the picture for this runner.
Fistfulofmoney
Recent form figures of 544-513 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 79 places this runner below the field average (84) by 5 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 3
8-8 places this runner below the field average by 2.8lb, giving away 5lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A recent outing 13 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 20.9 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
The 67% projection sits above the field average (65%), though the 18% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Carlos Barbosa and trainer Kevin Rice completes the picture for this runner.
Sydney Street
Recent form figures of 025-217 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Second-best on the numbers at 91, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Above the field average on weights at 7
8-11 and only 2lb below the top weight, this runner carries a competitive burden for this contest.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 21-day break is longer than the 20.9-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
A 58% win chance places this runner below the field average (65%) by 7%, giving away 27% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Hector Jr Diaz and trainer Katy Cheeks completes the picture for this runner.
Thalberg
Recent form figures of 21213-1 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Second-best on the numbers at 91, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 6
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 6-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
A recent outing 12 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 20.9 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 85% win probability - a 43% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Israel Rodriguez and trainer Brandon Kulp completes the picture for this runner.
Reteko
Recent form figures of 13-2191 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Above the field average on OR at 90 and only 2 points below the top-rated, this runner profiles as a competitive horse with the scope to outrun its mark.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-13, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
A recent outing 14 days ago puts this runner below the field average of 20.9 days - ticking over nicely and likely sharper than most.
A 74% projection places this runner second on the data, within 11% of the top-rated and carrying solid claims from a statistical standpoint.
The partnership of jockey Rosario Montanez and trainer Scooter Davis completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 23:39 at Presque Isle Downs (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.