Track

Horseshoe Indianapolis

Race Time

19:41

1

Machts Nichts

4 8-10
OR 80
Jockey
Amir Mendoza (5) 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Anthony Granitz 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
4
4
4
D
9
7
Last active
7
Improving (3R)
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
7.00
Latest
0
2

Toy'stroubledhero

4 8-10
OR 76
Jockey
Fernando Cruz La De 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Randy Klopp 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 50%
Recent Form
8
1
2
0
6
5
Last active
34
3

Fervent Prayer

4 8-10
OR 62
Jockey
Alex Achard 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Anthony Granitz 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 58%
Recent Form
8
5
5
4
4
2
Last active
19
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
9.00
Latest
0
4

Instinctually

5 8-7
OR 67
Jockey
Jose Gutierrez (5) 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Scott Mullins 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 41%
Recent Form
9
6
3
7
9
5
Last active
27
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
13.00
Latest
0
5

Concho's Prayer

4 8-7
OR 76
Jockey
Mitchell Murrill 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Tim Eggleston 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 56%
Recent Form
5
4
8
4
4
4
Last active
27
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
3.50
Latest
0
6

Chisel

6 8-10
OR 79
Jockey
Irving Moncada 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Randy Klopp 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 56%
Recent Form
8
2
2
7
8
2
Last active
28
Major Improver
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
5.00
Latest
0
7

Coyote Justice

3 8-3
OR 65
Jockey
Joseph Romero (5) 0 wins In 30 days
Trainer
Agustin Gonzalez 0 wins In 30 days
Win Chance 57%
Recent Form
3
1
6
9
Last active
20
Class Change
Odds Movement -100.00%
Opening
16.00
Latest
0

Form Annotations

  • ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
  • Improving Last 3 Races
  • Improved A lot Last 2 Races
  • Placed Last 3 Races
  • Likely jumped up in class
  • Likely dropped in class
Note: The color-coded notifications highlight noteworthy trends in the horse’s recent form.

Abbreviations

Form: Last 5 runs (most recent on right)
OR: Official Rating
Age & Wgt: Age & Weight to carry (stones-pounds)
Last Active: Number of days since the horse last raced
Odds: Betting odds at time of posting

Race Prediction

Top Pick: Chisel

Best Each-Way Bet: Concho's Prayer

Surprise Package: Coyote Justice

The 19:41 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) features a field of 7 runners.

The field averages an official rating of 72.1, with the strongest runner rated 80 and the weakest at 62. The average time since last run across the field is 23.1 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up.



Machts Nichts
Form figures of 444D9-7 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Top-rated horse at 80, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The freshest runner in the field having raced just 7 days ago - peak race fitness though the quick turnaround may raise stamina concerns over the closing furlongs.
Top of the tree on win chance at 58% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Amir Mendoza (5) and trainer Anthony Granitz completes the picture for this runner.


Toy'stroubledhero
Recent form figures of 8120-65 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Third on the ratings at 76 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The most freshened-up runner in the race after 34 days away - may benefit from the break though immediate race fitness will need to be taken on trust.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (53.7%) by 3.7%, giving away 8% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Fernando Cruz La De and trainer Randy Klopp completes the picture for this runner.


Fervent Prayer
Form figures of 8554-42 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 62, this runner is rated 18 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 10.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4 8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
Returning after 19 days, quicker back than the 23.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 58% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Alex Achard and trainer Anthony Granitz completes the picture for this runner.


Instinctually
Form figures of 96379-5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 67 places this runner below the field average (72.1) by 5.1 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
An allocation of 5 8-7 places this runner below the field average by 1.1lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
A 5-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The 27-day break is longer than the 23.1-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
The weakest win chance in the field at 41% - 17% below the top-rated and 12.7% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Jose Gutierrez (5) and trainer Scott Mullins completes the picture for this runner.


Concho's Prayer
Form figures of 548-444 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Third on the ratings at 76 and only 4 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
An allocation of 4 8-7 places this runner below the field average by 1.1lb, giving away 3lb to the top weight - a handy burden in this company.
At 4 years old, this runner is younger than the field average and may have physical improvement still to come.
The 27-day break is longer than the 23.1-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
Above the field average on win chance at 56% and only 2% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Mitchell Murrill and trainer Tim Eggleston completes the picture for this runner.


Chisel
Recent Form 82278-2 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Second-best on the numbers at 79, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 6 8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 6 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The 28-day break is longer than the 23.1-day field average, though still within a standard training cycle - likely fresh enough without being rusty.
Above the field average on win chance at 56% and only 2% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Irving Moncada and trainer Randy Klopp completes the picture for this runner.


Coyote Justice
Recent form figures of 316-9 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 65 places this runner below the field average (72.1) by 7.1 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3 8-3, enjoying a 7lb advantage over the top weight and 5.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 20 days, quicker back than the 23.1-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 57% and only 1% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Joseph Romero (5) and trainer Agustin Gonzalez completes the picture for this runner.


In summary, the 19:41 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.