Love Potion
Brenda's City
Chabelo
Mordecai
Johnny Ringo
Red So O Lo
Most Amazing
Unresponsive
Storm Back
Silent Tone
Money Monday
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Chabelo
Best Each-Way Bet: Storm Back
Surprise Package: Brenda's City
The 22:47 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 61lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.
The field averages an official rating of 64.1, with the strongest runner rated 108 and the weakest at 47. The average time since last run across the field is 39.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Love Potion
Form figures of 4669- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 63 places this runner third on the figures, with the 45-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 186 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 43% win chance places this runner below the field average (50%) by 7%, giving away 21% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Oscar Villarreal and trainer III Edward Roggenkamp completes the picture for this runner.
Brenda's City
Recent form 8-06 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 108, enjoying a commanding 36-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 11-runner field.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 24% - 40% below the top-rated and 26% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Amir Mendoza
(5) and trainer Genaro Garcia completes the picture for this runner.
Chabelo
Form figures of 47566-4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 47, this runner is rated 61 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 17.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 52% projection sits above the field average (50%), though the 12% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Alex Achard and trainer Miguel Silva completes the picture for this runner.
Mordecai
Form figures of 85555-3 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 62 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 2.1 points, giving away 46 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 53% projection sits above the field average (50%), though the 11% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Mitchell Murrill and trainer Jonathan Nance completes the picture for this runner.
Johnny Ringo
Form figures of 5 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 58 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 6.1 points, giving away 50 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 55% and only 9% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Orlando Bocachica and trainer Kara Mcguire completes the picture for this runner.
Red So O Lo
Form figures of 4 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 60 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 4.1 points, giving away 48 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8
b1, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 64% win probability - a 40% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Evin Roman and trainer Robert Dobbs completes the picture for this runner.
Most Amazing
Recent form 0556-35 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 55 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 9.1 points, giving away 53 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 47% win chance places this runner below the field average (50%) by 3%, giving away 17% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey D E Sheehy and trainer Michael Lauer completes the picture for this runner.
Unresponsive
Form figures of 82 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 72, this runner sits second on the figures though the 36-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 55% and only 9% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Jose Gutierrez
(5) and trainer Michelle Elliott completes the picture for this runner.
Storm Back
Recent Form 542-824 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 60 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 4.1 points, giving away 48 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
A 4-year-old operating above the field average age, bringing maturity and racecraft to the table.
The shortest absence in the race at 16 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Second on the win chance ratings at 62%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Frank Reyes and trainer Heriberto Villalobos completes the picture for this runner.
Silent Tone
Form figures of 56-56 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 58 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 6.1 points, giving away 50 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 3
8-8, enjoying a 4lb advantage over the top weight and 1.1lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 21 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 50% projection sits above the field average (50%), though the 14% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Marcelino Jr Pedroza and trainer Anthony Granitz completes the picture for this runner.
Money Monday
Form figures of 77964-3 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 62 places this runner below the field average (64.1) by 2.1 points, giving away 46 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 5
8-12, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 27 days, quicker back than the 39.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 45% win chance places this runner below the field average (50%) by 5%, giving away 19% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Andres Ulloa and trainer Jonathan Nance completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 22:47 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.