Jack's Summer
Gio's Baby Girl
Pay Me Later
Sorry Not Sorry
Sudden Rise
Annie Express
Innisfree Lass
Hoosier Promise
Sweet Saint
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: Annie Express
Best Each-Way Bet: Gio's Baby Girl
Surprise Package: Hoosier Promise
The 20:43 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) features a field of 9 runners.
The field averages an official rating of 75.1, with the strongest runner rated 85 and the weakest at 68. The average time since last run across the field is 46.7 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Jack's Summer
Recent form figures of 32-0134 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 79 places this runner third on the figures, with the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaving it with work to do against the classier types.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 64% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Joseph Bealmear and trainer Robert Sturgeon completes the picture for this runner.
Gio's Baby Girl
Form figures of 4/54764- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
The clear top-rated horse with an OR of 85, enjoying a commanding 5-point advantage over the next best and arriving with the strongest credentials in this 9-runner field.
Top weight in the race at 7
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 7 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 210 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
The 61% projection sits above the field average (60.9%), though the 12% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Joseph Romero
(5) and trainer Ron Herrell completes the picture for this runner.
Pay Me Later
Recent form figures of 45121-5 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
An OR of 75 places this runner below the field average (75.1) by 0.1 points, giving away 10 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 35 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Top of the tree on win chance at 73% - holding a useful edge over the opposition and the strongest statistical profile in this contest.
The partnership of jockey Luis Contreras and trainer Robert Gorham completes the picture for this runner.
Sorry Not Sorry
Form figures of 36-8866 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 68, this runner is rated 17 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 7.1 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The weakest win chance in the field at 44% - 29% below the top-rated and 16.9% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Mitchell Murrill and trainer Michael Lauer completes the picture for this runner.
Sudden Rise
Recent form figures of 11640-7 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 73 places this runner below the field average (75.1) by 2.1 points, giving away 12 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 55% win chance places this runner below the field average (60.9%) by 5.9%, giving away 18% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Amir Mendoza
(5) and trainer Michelle Elliott completes the picture for this runner.
Annie Express
Recent form figures of 1187-72 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 70 places this runner below the field average (75.1) by 5.1 points, giving away 15 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-7, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 61% projection sits above the field average (60.9%), though the 12% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Fernando Cruz La De and trainer Chaz Rechy completes the picture for this runner.
Innisfree Lass
Recent form figures of 5523-41 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck once in the last six outings - a profile that commands respect.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Rated 80, this runner sits second on the figures though the 5-point gap to the top-rated suggests it will need to find improvement to turn the tables.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-7, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 33 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 70%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Alberto Burgos and trainer John Haran completes the picture for this runner.
Hoosier Promise
Recent Form 5036-35 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
An OR of 74 places this runner below the field average (75.1) by 1.1 points, giving away 11 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Top weight in the race at 4
8-10, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The most recent runner in the field with an outing 12 days ago, ticking over nicely and arriving with conditioning exactly where it needs to be.
A 50% win chance places this runner below the field average (60.9%) by 10.9%, giving away 23% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Marcelino Jr Pedroza and trainer Anthony Granitz completes the picture for this runner.
Sweet Saint
Recent form figures of 3116-18 reveal a runner in winning mood, having struck twice or more in the last six outings - Proven quality and a profile that commands respect.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
An OR of 72 places this runner below the field average (75.1) by 3.1 points, giving away 13 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The lowest weighted runner in the field at 4
8-7, enjoying a 3lb advantage over the top weight and 2lb below the average - a featherweight burden that could prove decisive.
The youngest in the race at just 4 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 26 days, quicker back than the 46.7-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Second on the win chance ratings at 70%, lying just 3% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Samuel Bermudez and trainer Randy Klopp completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 20:43 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) shapes as a contest where the leading contenders on the data hold clear advantages, and the race may be run to suit those with strong statistical profiles.