Catch Her Legacy
One Sweet Cigar
Sizzzling Heart
Lb Favorite Delight
Ap Valiant Princess
Dont Ya See
Tarzanito Express 23
Cruisindownthebeach
Hh Chasing Cj
A Political Elmo
Form Annotations
- ##% — Consistency rating: The horse's recent strike-rate or placing percentage
- Improving Last 3 Races
- Improved A lot Last 2 Races
- Placed Last 3 Races
- Likely jumped up in class
- Likely dropped in class
Abbreviations
Race Prediction
Top Pick: A Political Elmo
Best Each-Way Bet: Ap Valiant Princess
Surprise Package: Catch Her Legacy
The 23:15 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) presents a significant ratings spread of 35lb from top to bottom, suggesting a potentially lopsided contest where the higher-rated runners may dominate.
The field averages an official rating of 53.8, with the strongest runner rated 66 and the weakest at 31. The average time since last run across the field is 90.4 days, indicating runners are somewhat freshened up. Over half the field carries a rating below 75, indicating this may be a race where improvement is required for success at this level.
Catch Her Legacy
Recent form 0- contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Anchored at the bottom of the ratings on 31, this runner is rated 35 points inferior to the top-rated and trails the field average by 22.8 points - a sizeable task on the numbers.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 225-day absence - 134.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
The weakest win chance in the field at 0% - 61% below the top-rated and 44.1% under the field average - a genuine outsider on the numbers with plenty to find.
The partnership of jockey Saul Lopez and trainer David Anthony completes the picture for this runner.
One Sweet Cigar
Recent form 98499-0 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
An OR of 43 places this runner below the field average (53.8) by 10.8 points, giving away 23 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 39 days, quicker back than the 90.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
A 24% win chance places this runner below the field average (44.1%) by 20.1%, giving away 37% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Cristian Penaloza and trainer Ron Raper completes the picture for this runner.
Sizzzling Heart
Recent Form 2847-23 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Top-rated horse at 66, though the ratings advantage is marginal in this competitive-looking field.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 90.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The standout selection on the data with a commanding 61% win probability - a 61% margin over the weakest in the field and the clear one to beat on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Luz Martinez and trainer Anthony Cunningham completes the picture for this runner.
Lb Favorite Delight
Form figures of 7478-35 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 59 official rating sits above the field average (53.8), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 26 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
The 48% projection sits above the field average (44.1%), though the 13% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Martin Munoz and trainer Felix Barraza completes the picture for this runner.
Ap Valiant Princess
Recent form 7043-74 contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
The 59 official rating sits above the field average (53.8), though the 7-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 90.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
The 45% projection sits above the field average (44.1%), though the 16% gap to the top-rated suggests this runner is more place than win material.
The partnership of jockey Francisco Quintero and trainer Oscar Preciado completes the picture for this runner.
Dont Ya See
Form figures of 94- paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 48 places this runner below the field average (53.8) by 5.8 points, giving away 18 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The longest absence in the field by some margin at 237 days - genuine uncertainty around current ability and best watched unless market support suggests all is well.
A 41% win chance places this runner below the field average (44.1%) by 3.1%, giving away 20% to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
The partnership of jockey Isidro Banuelos and trainer Cody Gates completes the picture for this runner.
Tarzanito Express 23
Form figures of 8D-6 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
An OR of 44 places this runner below the field average (53.8) by 9.8 points, giving away 22 points to the top-rated - competitive enough to get involved but likely needing favours to win.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
Returning after 29 days, quicker back than the 90.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Third on the win chance ratings at 58% and only 3% off the top projection - a live each-way prospect with the numbers to support a place claim.
The partnership of jockey Edgar Diaz and trainer Claudio Barraza completes the picture for this runner.
Cruisindownthebeach
Form figures of 43556-8 paint a picture of steady if unspectacular recent efforts, with this runner yet to find the winning formula in its latest assignments.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
Second-best on the numbers at 65, lying just 1 points shy of the top-rated and firmly in the picture for this contest.
Top weight in the race at 5
9-2, though the spread across the field is narrow and the burden should not be prohibitive.
At 5 years old, this is one of the more experienced runner in the field - an age that brings maturity though perhaps not the zip of younger rivals.
Returning after 56 days, quicker back than the 90.4-day field average - should arrive with more race sharpness than the typical runner here.
Above the field average on win chance at 53% and only 8% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Dex Mitchell and trainer Jose Cazares completes the picture for this runner.
Hh Chasing Cj
Recent Form 3822-66 demonstrates consistent place-getting ability, with this runner hitting the frame regularly even if the winning post has proved elusive of late.
However, the downward trend in recent efforts raises questions about whether this runner can rediscover its best form.
The 60 official rating sits above the field average (53.8), though the 6-point deficit to the top-rated leaves it with work to do against the classier types.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
The shortest absence in the race at 26 days, suggesting this runner has been kept busier than most and should arrive sharp enough.
Second on the win chance ratings at 59%, lying just 2% shy of the top pick and firmly in the championship picture on the numbers.
The partnership of jockey Yovani Flores Munoz and trainer Shawna Martin completes the picture for this runner.
A Political Elmo
Recent form 0442- contains a non-completion, suggesting this runner has faced difficulties in finishing its races - a concern that needs addressing.
Notably, the trajectory of recent performances suggests upward momentum that could see this runner go close today.
Third on the ratings at 63 and only 3 points off the top-rated, this runner profiles as a live each-way prospect in this field.
Second highest in the weights at 3
9-0, lying just 2lb below the top weight and competitive enough from a burden perspective.
The youngest in the race at just 3 years old, this runner may still be on the upgrade and has scope to outrun its age profile.
A lengthy 208-day absence - 117.6 days longer than the field average - introduces genuine uncertainty around current ability in this company.
Above the field average on win chance at 52% and only 9% below the top projection - a competitive middleweight on the data with scope to outrun its rating.
The partnership of jockey Germarius O Neal and trainer Cody Gates completes the picture for this runner.
In summary, the 23:15 at Horseshoe Indianapolis (usa) appears to be a genuinely open affair with several runners holding similar claims, making it a tricky puzzle for punters to solve.